Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine holds a commanding trader consensus of 87.5% to win Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, driven by his Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and incumbency advantage from the 2025 special election victory. Challenger Dan Bilzerian, a celebrity poker player who filed in early April criticizing Fine's strong Israel support as "treason," has garnered 7% implied probability amid media buzz but faces skepticism as a district outsider. Aaron Baker, positioning as an America First candidate, trails at 5.5% after urging Bilzerian to drop out or endorse him, while others remain negligible. No major developments have emerged in the past two weeks to alter this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트랜디 파인 88%
댄 빌저리언 7.1%
아론 베이커 5.3%
알렉산드라 반 클리프 <1%
$143,259 거래량
$143,259 거래량
랜디 파인
88%
댄 빌저리언
7%
아론 베이커
5%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
<1%
찰스 감바로
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
랜디 파인 88%
댄 빌저리언 7.1%
아론 베이커 5.3%
알렉산드라 반 클리프 <1%
$143,259 거래량
$143,259 거래량
랜디 파인
88%
댄 빌저리언
7%
아론 베이커
5%
알렉산드라 반 클리프
<1%
조슈아 바스케스
<1%
찰스 감바로
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine holds a commanding trader consensus of 87.5% to win Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, driven by his Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and incumbency advantage from the 2025 special election victory. Challenger Dan Bilzerian, a celebrity poker player who filed in early April criticizing Fine's strong Israel support as "treason," has garnered 7% implied probability amid media buzz but faces skepticism as a district outsider. Aaron Baker, positioning as an America First candidate, trails at 5.5% after urging Bilzerian to drop out or endorse him, while others remain negligible. No major developments have emerged in the past two weeks to alter this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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