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정치·프라이머리

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
정치·프라이머리

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
신규

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
신규

Mike Bouchard

$2,122 거래량

63%

Steven Elliott

$1,799 거래량

16%

Casey Armitage

$2,338 거래량

7%

Justin Kirk

$847 거래량

5%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,116 거래량

40%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard as the Republican primary frontrunner for Michigan's 10th congressional district seat, vacated by John James' gubernatorial bid, with his 61.5% implied probability reflecting a May 13 poll showing him at 39.2%—a plurality bolstered by strong favorables among GOP voters despite undecideds. Robert Lulgjuraj trails at 31.1% amid a residency eligibility challenge filed last week by rival Justin Kirk and a pro-Bouchard PAC, potentially eroding his early fundraising edge. Steven Elliott garners 16.3% support as a dark horse, while others lag. Competitive fundraising persists, with Bouchard closing gaps per April reports, ahead of the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$9,222
종료일
2026.08.04
마켓 개설일
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Mike Bouchard as the Republican primary frontrunner for Michigan's 10th congressional district seat, vacated by John James' gubernatorial bid, with his 61.5% implied probability reflecting a May 13 poll showing him at 39.2%—a plurality bolstered by strong favorables among GOP voters despite undecideds. Robert Lulgjuraj trails at 31.1% amid a residency eligibility challenge filed last week by rival Justin Kirk and a pro-Bouchard PAC, potentially eroding his early fundraising edge. Steven Elliott garners 16.3% support as a dark horse, while others lag. Competitive fundraising persists, with Bouchard closing gaps per April reports, ahead of the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$9,222
종료일
2026.08.04
마켓 개설일
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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자주 묻는 질문

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner"은 5개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 63%의 "Mike Bouchard"이며, 이어서 40%의 "Robert Lulgjuraj"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 63¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 63%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Dec 18, 2025에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 5개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner"의 현재 유력 후보는 63%의 "Mike Bouchard"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 63%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 40%의 "Robert Lulgjuraj"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.