Michael Minogue's commanding 70% victory at the Massachusetts Republican Party convention on April 26 has solidified trader consensus behind him as the overwhelming frontrunner at 82% implied probability for the September 1 GOP gubernatorial primary. The endorsement, reflecting robust delegate support for the biotech executive and major donor, qualified him and Brian Shortsleeve for the ballot while sidelining Mike Kennealy below the 15% threshold. Recent pressure from state RNC members urging Shortsleeve to drop out amplifies calls for party unity, though he counters by questioning Minogue's electability over issues like abortion stance. Absent post-convention polls, the market views the low-turnout primary as Minogue's to lose, with his momentum outweighing Shortsleeve's resistance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트마이클 미노그 82%
브라이언 숏슬리브 9.8%
마이크 케널리 <1%
$19,952 거래량
$19,952 거래량
2026.09.01
마이클 미노그
82%
브라이언 숏슬리브
10%
마이크 케널리
<1%
마이클 미노그 82%
브라이언 숏슬리브 9.8%
마이크 케널리 <1%
$19,952 거래량
$19,952 거래량
2026.09.01
마이클 미노그
$8,019 거래량
82%
브라이언 숏슬리브
$2,053 거래량
10%
마이크 케널리
$9,879 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michael Minogue's commanding 70% victory at the Massachusetts Republican Party convention on April 26 has solidified trader consensus behind him as the overwhelming frontrunner at 82% implied probability for the September 1 GOP gubernatorial primary. The endorsement, reflecting robust delegate support for the biotech executive and major donor, qualified him and Brian Shortsleeve for the ballot while sidelining Mike Kennealy below the 15% threshold. Recent pressure from state RNC members urging Shortsleeve to drop out amplifies calls for party unity, though he counters by questioning Minogue's electability over issues like abortion stance. Absent post-convention polls, the market views the low-turnout primary as Minogue's to lose, with his momentum outweighing Shortsleeve's resistance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
거래량
$19,952종료일
2026.09.01마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michael Minogue's commanding 70% victory at the Massachusetts Republican Party convention on April 26 has solidified trader consensus behind him as the overwhelming frontrunner at 82% implied probability for the September 1 GOP gubernatorial primary. The endorsement, reflecting robust delegate support for the biotech executive and major donor, qualified him and Brian Shortsleeve for the ballot while sidelining Mike Kennealy below the 15% threshold. Recent pressure from state RNC members urging Shortsleeve to drop out amplifies calls for party unity, though he counters by questioning Minogue's electability over issues like abortion stance. Absent post-convention polls, the market views the low-turnout primary as Minogue's to lose, with his momentum outweighing Shortsleeve's resistance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$19,952종료일
2026.09.01마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Minogue's commanding 70% victory at the Massachusetts Republican Party convention on April 26 has solidified trader consensus behind him as the overwhelming frontrunner at 82% implied probability for the September 1 GOP gubernatorial primary. The endorsement, reflecting robust delegate support for the biotech executive and major donor, qualified him and Brian Shortsleeve for the ballot while sidelining Mike Kennealy below the 15% threshold. Recent pressure from state RNC members urging Shortsleeve to drop out amplifies calls for party unity, though he counters by questioning Minogue's electability over issues like abortion stance. Absent post-convention polls, the market views the low-turnout primary as Minogue's to lose, with his momentum outweighing Shortsleeve's resistance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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