Recent US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, including a third round in Washington on May 14-15, 2026, represent the primary driver shaping expectations around any potential diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah. These talks, following earlier sessions in April, focus on extending the fragile April 2026 cessation of hostilities, addressing Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, and pursuing Hezbollah disarmament as part of broader security arrangements. Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and maintained its demands for full Israeli withdrawal, while cross-border incidents and Israeli strikes continue despite the truce framework. Upcoming follow-up discussions or any shift in Lebanese government positions could influence whether direct or indirect channels with Hezbollah materialize within key resolution windows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,003 거래량
2026.05.31
May 31
3%
$29,003 거래량
May 31
$10,202 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, including a third round in Washington on May 14-15, 2026, represent the primary driver shaping expectations around any potential diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah. These talks, following earlier sessions in April, focus on extending the fragile April 2026 cessation of hostilities, addressing Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, and pursuing Hezbollah disarmament as part of broader security arrangements. Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and maintained its demands for full Israeli withdrawal, while cross-border incidents and Israeli strikes continue despite the truce framework. Upcoming follow-up discussions or any shift in Lebanese government positions could influence whether direct or indirect channels with Hezbollah materialize within key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
거래량
$29,003종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, including a third round in Washington on May 14-15, 2026, represent the primary driver shaping expectations around any potential diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah. These talks, following earlier sessions in April, focus on extending the fragile April 2026 cessation of hostilities, addressing Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, and pursuing Hezbollah disarmament as part of broader security arrangements. Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and maintained its demands for full Israeli withdrawal, while cross-border incidents and Israeli strikes continue despite the truce framework. Upcoming follow-up discussions or any shift in Lebanese government positions could influence whether direct or indirect channels with Hezbollah materialize within key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$29,003종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-mediated direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, including a third round in Washington on May 14-15, 2026, represent the primary driver shaping expectations around any potential diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah. These talks, following earlier sessions in April, focus on extending the fragile April 2026 cessation of hostilities, addressing Israeli forces in southern Lebanon, and pursuing Hezbollah disarmament as part of broader security arrangements. Hezbollah has publicly rejected the process and maintained its demands for full Israeli withdrawal, while cross-border incidents and Israeli strikes continue despite the truce framework. Upcoming follow-up discussions or any shift in Lebanese government positions could influence whether direct or indirect channels with Hezbollah materialize within key resolution windows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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