This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s ruling coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset and call early elections, driven primarily by pressure from ultra-Orthodox parties over the stalled military draft exemption law for yeshiva students. Coalition leaders, including Likud, acted to preempt opposition proposals and retain control over the election timetable, with a first vote expected around May 20. Passage would set elections no sooner than 90 days later, potentially shifting the original October 27 deadline forward to late summer or early fall. This development reflects internal coalition fractures and legislative maneuvering ahead of the scheduled end of the 25th Knesset term, creating a narrow window for traders to assess timing risks tied to further Haredi demands and procedural votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Israel’s ruling coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset and call early elections, driven primarily by pressure from ultra-Orthodox parties over the stalled military draft exemption law for yeshiva students. Coalition leaders, including Likud, acted to preempt opposition proposals and retain control over the election timetable, with a first vote expected around May 20. Passage would set elections no sooner than 90 days later, potentially shifting the original October 27 deadline forward to late summer or early fall. This development reflects internal coalition fractures and legislative maneuvering ahead of the scheduled end of the 25th Knesset term, creating a narrow window for traders to assess timing risks tied to further Haredi demands and procedural votes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 13 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes amid ceasefire talks
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing was interpreted as progress in the ceasefire’s second phase, reducing urgency for a political reset and causing the market’s May‑31 probability to fall while the June‑30 outlook rose sharply.
May 12 2026
Netanyahu faces internal coalition pressure over Gaza Board of Peace
June 30 surges to 48%31%
Internal coalition divisions regarding the U.S.-led Board of Peace and the future of Gaza governance created renewed speculation about the government's stability.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 dips to 40%4%
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with top security officials to address rising Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, signaling government focus on security and internal stability rather than political upheaval. This meeting reassured markets about political continuity, contributing to price declines for early dissolution outcomes.
Apr 18 2026
UNRWA demolition sparks international criticism and protests
The demolition led to widespread condemnation and protests, increasing domestic political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition and causing a sharp drop in the market’s confidence that the Knesset would survive until June, pulling the price down sharply.
Apr 4 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 drops to 12%8%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with top security officials to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, including attacks causing injuries and property damage. The meeting highlighted ongoing security challenges but did not indicate any parliamentary dissolution, reflecting continued political tensions without triggering a government collapse.
Apr 2 2026
Israel approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
June 30 rises to 20%2%
The approval of a major gas deal with Egypt was seen as a stabilizing factor for the government, reducing the immediate likelihood of a parliamentary dissolution.
Apr 2 2026
Iran protests erupt over currency plunge and economic woes
June 30 drops to 11%6%
Widespread protests in Iran over economic conditions and currency collapse increased regional instability, potentially influencing Israeli political dynamics and market perceptions of parliamentary dissolution likelihood.
Mar 25 2026
Israeli UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem targeted and demolished
June 30 plunges to 17%23%
Israel enforced a new law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, escalating tensions and reflecting ongoing political strife that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Mar 7 2026
Israel launches large-scale operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 surges to 66%27%
The military operation to find the last hostage was a critical condition for moving to the next phase of the ceasefire, causing a spike in market uncertainty regarding the government's future.
Mar 6 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal to Egypt
The historic gas agreement was presented as a boost to Israel’s economy and regional standing, improving the governing coalition’s prospects and reducing immediate pressure for a snap election, which helped lift the June‑30 probability.
Mar 6 2026
Federal judge bars Arizona from prosecuting Kalshi prediction market operator
June 30 surges to 66%25%
A federal judge temporarily blocked Arizona from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, highlighting regulatory uncertainty that may influence market perceptions of political event outcomes including Israeli parliamentary dissolution.
Feb 15 2026
Israeli military launches operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 drops to 35%5%
Israel intensified efforts to recover the remains of the last hostage in Gaza, reflecting ongoing conflict and political pressures that may affect government stability and parliamentary decisions.
Feb 11 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
June 30 plunges to 40%15%
Netanyahu met with security officials to address increasing Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting internal political tensions and security concerns that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Feb 11 2026
Israel demolishes UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem amid legal battle
The Israeli Foreign Ministry confirmed demolition of UNRWA facilities, heightening diplomatic tensions and raising speculation that the government might call early elections to consolidate support, nudging the market toward a later dissolution date.
Jan 28 2026
Israel launches large‑scale operation to locate last Gaza hostage
Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a major military effort to recover the final Israeli hostage, a step seen as prerequisite for moving to the second phase of the U.S.‑brokered ceasefire, which could delay any parliamentary dissolution until after the June‑30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s ruling coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset and call early elections, driven primarily by pressure from ultra-Orthodox parties over the stalled military draft exemption law for yeshiva students. Coalition leaders, including Likud, acted to preempt opposition proposals and retain control over the election timetable, with a first vote expected around May 20. Passage would set elections no sooner than 90 days later, potentially shifting the original October 27 deadline forward to late summer or early fall. This development reflects internal coalition fractures and legislative maneuvering ahead of the scheduled end of the 25th Knesset term, creating a narrow window for traders to assess timing risks tied to further Haredi demands and procedural votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Israel’s ruling coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset and call early elections, driven primarily by pressure from ultra-Orthodox parties over the stalled military draft exemption law for yeshiva students. Coalition leaders, including Likud, acted to preempt opposition proposals and retain control over the election timetable, with a first vote expected around May 20. Passage would set elections no sooner than 90 days later, potentially shifting the original October 27 deadline forward to late summer or early fall. This development reflects internal coalition fractures and legislative maneuvering ahead of the scheduled end of the 25th Knesset term, creating a narrow window for traders to assess timing risks tied to further Haredi demands and procedural votes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 13 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes amid ceasefire talks
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing was interpreted as progress in the ceasefire’s second phase, reducing urgency for a political reset and causing the market’s May‑31 probability to fall while the June‑30 outlook rose sharply.
May 12 2026
Netanyahu faces internal coalition pressure over Gaza Board of Peace
June 30 surges to 48%31%
Internal coalition divisions regarding the U.S.-led Board of Peace and the future of Gaza governance created renewed speculation about the government's stability.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 dips to 40%4%
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with top security officials to address rising Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, signaling government focus on security and internal stability rather than political upheaval. This meeting reassured markets about political continuity, contributing to price declines for early dissolution outcomes.
Apr 18 2026
UNRWA demolition sparks international criticism and protests
The demolition led to widespread condemnation and protests, increasing domestic political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition and causing a sharp drop in the market’s confidence that the Knesset would survive until June, pulling the price down sharply.
Apr 4 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 drops to 12%8%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with top security officials to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, including attacks causing injuries and property damage. The meeting highlighted ongoing security challenges but did not indicate any parliamentary dissolution, reflecting continued political tensions without triggering a government collapse.
Apr 2 2026
Israel approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
June 30 rises to 20%2%
The approval of a major gas deal with Egypt was seen as a stabilizing factor for the government, reducing the immediate likelihood of a parliamentary dissolution.
Apr 2 2026
Iran protests erupt over currency plunge and economic woes
June 30 drops to 11%6%
Widespread protests in Iran over economic conditions and currency collapse increased regional instability, potentially influencing Israeli political dynamics and market perceptions of parliamentary dissolution likelihood.
Mar 25 2026
Israeli UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem targeted and demolished
June 30 plunges to 17%23%
Israel enforced a new law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, escalating tensions and reflecting ongoing political strife that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Mar 7 2026
Israel launches large-scale operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 surges to 66%27%
The military operation to find the last hostage was a critical condition for moving to the next phase of the ceasefire, causing a spike in market uncertainty regarding the government's future.
Mar 6 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal to Egypt
The historic gas agreement was presented as a boost to Israel’s economy and regional standing, improving the governing coalition’s prospects and reducing immediate pressure for a snap election, which helped lift the June‑30 probability.
Mar 6 2026
Federal judge bars Arizona from prosecuting Kalshi prediction market operator
June 30 surges to 66%25%
A federal judge temporarily blocked Arizona from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, highlighting regulatory uncertainty that may influence market perceptions of political event outcomes including Israeli parliamentary dissolution.
Feb 15 2026
Israeli military launches operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 drops to 35%5%
Israel intensified efforts to recover the remains of the last hostage in Gaza, reflecting ongoing conflict and political pressures that may affect government stability and parliamentary decisions.
Feb 11 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
June 30 plunges to 40%15%
Netanyahu met with security officials to address increasing Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting internal political tensions and security concerns that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Feb 11 2026
Israel demolishes UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem amid legal battle
The Israeli Foreign Ministry confirmed demolition of UNRWA facilities, heightening diplomatic tensions and raising speculation that the government might call early elections to consolidate support, nudging the market toward a later dissolution date.
Jan 28 2026
Israel launches large‑scale operation to locate last Gaza hostage
Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a major military effort to recover the final Israeli hostage, a step seen as prerequisite for moving to the second phase of the U.S.‑brokered ceasefire, which could delay any parliamentary dissolution until after the June‑30 deadline.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"은 5개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 42%의 "6월 30일"이며, 이어서 13%의 "5월 31일"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 42¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 42%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.
오늘 현재 "... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"은 총 $1 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Sep 3, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 5개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"의 현재 유력 후보는 42%의 "6월 30일"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 42%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 13%의 "5월 31일"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.
네. 정보를 얻기 위해 거래할 필요가 없습니다. 이 페이지는 "... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"의 실시간 추적기 역할을 합니다. 결과 확률은 새로운 거래가 들어옴에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하고 다른 트레이더들이 무엇을 말하는지 댓글 섹션을 확인할 수 있습니다. 차트의 시간 범위 필터를 사용하여 확률이 시간에 따라 어떻게 변화했는지 확인할 수도 있습니다. 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 무료 실시간 창입니다.
Polymarket 확률은 자신의 신념에 실제 돈을 투자하는 트레이더들에 의해 설정되어 정확한 예측을 표면화하는 경향이 있습니다. "... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"에 $1 million이 거래되어 이 가격은 수천 명의 참가자의 집단 지식과 확신을 집계합니다 — 여론조사, 전문가 예측, 기존 설문조사를 종종 능가합니다. Polymarket과 같은 예측 마켓은 특히 이벤트가 정산일에 가까워질수록 강한 정확도 실적을 가지고 있습니다. 예를 들어 Polymarket의 1개월 정확도 점수는 94%입니다. Polymarket의 예측 정확도에 대한 최신 통계는 정확도 페이지를 방문하세요.
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"에서 첫 거래를 하려면 무료 Polymarket 계정에 가입하고 암호화폐, 신용 또는 직불카드, 은행 이체를 사용하여 자금을 입금하세요. 계정에 자금이 입금되면 이 페이지로 돌아와 거래하려는 결과를 선택하고 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 예측 마켓이 처음이라면 Polymarket 페이지 상단의 "이용 방법" 링크를 클릭하여 거래 방법에 대한 단계별 안내를 확인하세요.
Polymarket에서 각 결과의 가격은 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타냅니다. "... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?" 마켓에서 "6월 30일"의 42¢ 가격은 트레이더들이 "6월 30일"이 정확한 결과가 될 확률을 대략 42%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 42¢에 "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 맞으면 주당 $1.00을 받습니다 — 주당 58¢의 수익입니다. 틀리면 해당 주식은 $0의 가치입니다.
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?" 마켓은 Jun 30, 2026 전후에 정산될 예정입니다. 이는 해당 날짜까지 거래가 계속 열려 있고 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 계속 변할 것임을 의미합니다. 정확한 정산 시기는 이 페이지의 "규칙" 섹션에 명시된 대로 공식 결과가 이용 가능해지는 시점에 따라 달라집니다.
"... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?" 마켓에는 트레이더들이 분석을 공유하고, 결과를 토론하고, 최신 진전을 논의하는 30개 댓글의 활발한 커뮤니티이 있습니다. 아래 댓글 섹션으로 스크롤하여 다른 참가자들의 의견을 읽어보세요. "상위 보유자"로 필터링하여 마켓의 가장 큰 트레이더들의 포지션을 확인하거나 "활동" 탭에서 실시간 거래 피드를 확인할 수도 있습니다.
Polymarket은 세계 최대 예측 마켓으로, 실제 이벤트에 대한 지식으로 정보를 얻고 수익을 낼 수 있습니다. 트레이더들은 정치, 선거, 암호화폐, 금융, 스포츠, 기술, 문화 등 "... 에 의해 해산된 이스라엘 의회?"과 같은 마켓을 포함한 다양한 주제의 결과에 대한 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 가격은 금전적 확신에 뒷받침된 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영하며, 여론조사, 전문가, 기존 설문조사보다 빠르고 정확한 신호를 제공하는 경우가 많습니다.
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