Recent U.S. diplomacy under the second Trump administration produced Kazakhstan’s formal accession to the Abraham Accords in late 2025, while Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted that territory to pledge normalization, positioning it as the market’s leading candidate through shared security interests. Saudi Arabia continues technical talks but has tied any deal to verifiable Palestinian statehood progress and a Gaza ceasefire, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rejecting immediate entry. Other contenders such as Azerbaijan, Lebanon, and Syria face domestic and regional constraints, including Iranian influence and internal political hurdles. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and potential Gaza agreement phases could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$567,203 거래량
2026.12.31
소말릴란드
35%
레바논
17%
아제르바이잔
16%
오만
13%
쿠웨이트
13%
사우디아라비아
12%
시리아
12%
$567,203 거래량
소말릴란드
$61,741 거래량
35%
레바논
$58,017 거래량
17%
아제르바이잔
$43,147 거래량
16%
오만
$145,328 거래량
13%
쿠웨이트
$22,614 거래량
13%
사우디아라비아
$89,001 거래량
12%
시리아
$147,356 거래량
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. diplomacy under the second Trump administration produced Kazakhstan’s formal accession to the Abraham Accords in late 2025, while Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted that territory to pledge normalization, positioning it as the market’s leading candidate through shared security interests. Saudi Arabia continues technical talks but has tied any deal to verifiable Palestinian statehood progress and a Gaza ceasefire, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rejecting immediate entry. Other contenders such as Azerbaijan, Lebanon, and Syria face domestic and regional constraints, including Iranian influence and internal political hurdles. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and potential Gaza agreement phases could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
거래량
$567,203종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. diplomacy under the second Trump administration produced Kazakhstan’s formal accession to the Abraham Accords in late 2025, while Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted that territory to pledge normalization, positioning it as the market’s leading candidate through shared security interests. Saudi Arabia continues technical talks but has tied any deal to verifiable Palestinian statehood progress and a Gaza ceasefire, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rejecting immediate entry. Other contenders such as Azerbaijan, Lebanon, and Syria face domestic and regional constraints, including Iranian influence and internal political hurdles. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and potential Gaza agreement phases could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$567,203종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. diplomacy under the second Trump administration produced Kazakhstan’s formal accession to the Abraham Accords in late 2025, while Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted that territory to pledge normalization, positioning it as the market’s leading candidate through shared security interests. Saudi Arabia continues technical talks but has tied any deal to verifiable Palestinian statehood progress and a Gaza ceasefire, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rejecting immediate entry. Other contenders such as Azerbaijan, Lebanon, and Syria face domestic and regional constraints, including Iranian influence and internal political hurdles. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and potential Gaza agreement phases could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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