This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office as his coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset, triggering snap elections within five months before the mandated October deadline. Recent polls show opposition blocs, including a Lapid-Bennett alliance, projected to win a majority with 60 seats versus the government's 50, fueled by public frustration over Gaza truce fragility, spring Iran war escalation, and ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions. No-confidence votes failed in January, but corruption trials and Haredi strains persist. Traders monitor Knesset dissolution progress, polling trends, and geopolitical shocks that could sway coalition stability or voter turnout in this closely contested parliamentary race.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office as his coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset, triggering snap elections within five months before the mandated October deadline. Recent polls show opposition blocs, including a Lapid-Bennett alliance, projected to win a majority with 60 seats versus the government's 50, fueled by public frustration over Gaza truce fragility, spring Iran war escalation, and ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions. No-confidence votes failed in January, but corruption trials and Haredi strains persist. Traders monitor Knesset dissolution progress, polling trends, and geopolitical shocks that could sway coalition stability or voter turnout in this closely contested parliamentary race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 14 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
December 31 rises to 52%1%
Netanyahu approved a historic $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt, strengthening Israel’s regional position and demonstrating his ongoing governance role. This positive economic development likely bolstered market confidence in his tenure through the end of 2026.
May 7 2026
Israel launches large-scale operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
December 31 jumps to 51%6%
Netanyahu’s government launched a major operation to find the last hostage in Gaza, a key issue delaying the next ceasefire phase. This operation underscored Netanyahu’s active leadership during wartime, supporting market confidence in his continuation as Prime Minister.
Apr 26 2026
Israeli President delays decision on Netanyahu’s request to halt corruption trial
Israeli President Isaac Herzog delayed a decision on Netanyahu’s request to halt his ongoing corruption trial, signaling continued legal and political challenges for Netanyahu but no immediate resignation. This contributed to market uncertainty and a decline in short-term resignation probabilities.
Mar 19 2026
Israel attacks Iranian gas field, causing regional tensions
December 31 drops to 40%10%
Israel launched an attack on Iran’s South Pars gas field, escalating the conflict with Iran and causing a divergence in rhetoric between Netanyahu and Trump. This heightened regional tensions and political risks but Netanyahu remained in office, affecting market sentiment on his tenure.
Jan 24 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire’s second phase
December 31 plunges to 46%18%
Top U.S. envoys met with Netanyahu urging progress into the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, which involved complex political and security challenges. This increased pressure on Netanyahu but did not lead to resignation, contributing to market uncertainty and a dip in short-term resignation probabilities.
Dec 24 2025
Netanyahu signals no rush to advance Gaza ceasefire second phase amid hostage remains issue
December 31 dips to 53%3%
Netanyahu indicated reluctance to proceed with the next ceasefire phase until the remains of the last hostage are returned, tempering expectations of political change and causing a slight market correction downward from the peak probability.
Nov 22 2025
US envoys urge Netanyahu to move into Gaza ceasefire’s second phase
December 31 jumps to 60%7%
Top U.S. envoys met with Netanyahu urging progress into the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, increasing political pressure on him. This event caused a rise in market probability as it suggested potential political shifts that could affect Netanyahu's position by year-end.
Oct 15 2025
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
December 31 jumps to 62%14%
Netanyahu announced approval of a historic $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt, strengthening Israel's regional position and signaling political stability under his leadership, which temporarily increased market confidence in his tenure lasting through the year-end.
Aug 13 2025
Netanyahu meets Trump in Florida to discuss Iran and Gaza
December 31 rises to 47%2%
Netanyahu held talks with Trump focusing on Iran nuclear negotiations and Gaza ceasefire progress, reinforcing his active political role and diminishing market expectations of his resignation by year-end.
Aug 9 2025
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire’s second phase
December 31 dips to 50%4%
Top U.S. envoys met with Netanyahu urging progress on the Gaza ceasefire’s second phase, including demilitarization and reconstruction, highlighting ongoing political engagement and Netanyahu’s leadership role, which likely lowered resignation odds.
Jul 25 2025
Netanyahu agrees to join Trump’s Board of Peace overseeing Gaza ceasefire
December 31 drops to 53%6%
Netanyahu announced his agreement to join the U.S.-led Board of Peace, a key part of the Gaza ceasefire plan, signaling his continued active role in regional diplomacy and governance, reducing expectations of resignation by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office as his coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset, triggering snap elections within five months before the mandated October deadline. Recent polls show opposition blocs, including a Lapid-Bennett alliance, projected to win a majority with 60 seats versus the government's 50, fueled by public frustration over Gaza truce fragility, spring Iran war escalation, and ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions. No-confidence votes failed in January, but corruption trials and Haredi strains persist. Traders monitor Knesset dissolution progress, polling trends, and geopolitical shocks that could sway coalition stability or voter turnout in this closely contested parliamentary race.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office as his coalition submitted a bill on May 13 to dissolve the Knesset, triggering snap elections within five months before the mandated October deadline. Recent polls show opposition blocs, including a Lapid-Bennett alliance, projected to win a majority with 60 seats versus the government's 50, fueled by public frustration over Gaza truce fragility, spring Iran war escalation, and ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions. No-confidence votes failed in January, but corruption trials and Haredi strains persist. Traders monitor Knesset dissolution progress, polling trends, and geopolitical shocks that could sway coalition stability or voter turnout in this closely contested parliamentary race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
May 14 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
December 31 rises to 52%1%
Netanyahu approved a historic $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt, strengthening Israel’s regional position and demonstrating his ongoing governance role. This positive economic development likely bolstered market confidence in his tenure through the end of 2026.
May 7 2026
Israel launches large-scale operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
December 31 jumps to 51%6%
Netanyahu’s government launched a major operation to find the last hostage in Gaza, a key issue delaying the next ceasefire phase. This operation underscored Netanyahu’s active leadership during wartime, supporting market confidence in his continuation as Prime Minister.
Apr 26 2026
Israeli President delays decision on Netanyahu’s request to halt corruption trial
Israeli President Isaac Herzog delayed a decision on Netanyahu’s request to halt his ongoing corruption trial, signaling continued legal and political challenges for Netanyahu but no immediate resignation. This contributed to market uncertainty and a decline in short-term resignation probabilities.
Mar 19 2026
Israel attacks Iranian gas field, causing regional tensions
December 31 drops to 40%10%
Israel launched an attack on Iran’s South Pars gas field, escalating the conflict with Iran and causing a divergence in rhetoric between Netanyahu and Trump. This heightened regional tensions and political risks but Netanyahu remained in office, affecting market sentiment on his tenure.
Jan 24 2026
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire’s second phase
December 31 plunges to 46%18%
Top U.S. envoys met with Netanyahu urging progress into the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, which involved complex political and security challenges. This increased pressure on Netanyahu but did not lead to resignation, contributing to market uncertainty and a dip in short-term resignation probabilities.
Dec 24 2025
Netanyahu signals no rush to advance Gaza ceasefire second phase amid hostage remains issue
December 31 dips to 53%3%
Netanyahu indicated reluctance to proceed with the next ceasefire phase until the remains of the last hostage are returned, tempering expectations of political change and causing a slight market correction downward from the peak probability.
Nov 22 2025
US envoys urge Netanyahu to move into Gaza ceasefire’s second phase
December 31 jumps to 60%7%
Top U.S. envoys met with Netanyahu urging progress into the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire, increasing political pressure on him. This event caused a rise in market probability as it suggested potential political shifts that could affect Netanyahu's position by year-end.
Oct 15 2025
Netanyahu approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
December 31 jumps to 62%14%
Netanyahu announced approval of a historic $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt, strengthening Israel's regional position and signaling political stability under his leadership, which temporarily increased market confidence in his tenure lasting through the year-end.
Aug 13 2025
Netanyahu meets Trump in Florida to discuss Iran and Gaza
December 31 rises to 47%2%
Netanyahu held talks with Trump focusing on Iran nuclear negotiations and Gaza ceasefire progress, reinforcing his active political role and diminishing market expectations of his resignation by year-end.
Aug 9 2025
US envoys urge Netanyahu to advance Gaza ceasefire’s second phase
December 31 dips to 50%4%
Top U.S. envoys met with Netanyahu urging progress on the Gaza ceasefire’s second phase, including demilitarization and reconstruction, highlighting ongoing political engagement and Netanyahu’s leadership role, which likely lowered resignation odds.
Jul 25 2025
Netanyahu agrees to join Trump’s Board of Peace overseeing Gaza ceasefire
December 31 drops to 53%6%
Netanyahu announced his agreement to join the U.S.-led Board of Peace, a key part of the Gaza ceasefire plan, signaling his continued active role in regional diplomacy and governance, reducing expectations of resignation by year-end.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문
"Netanyahu out by...?"은 5개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 44%의 "12월 31일"이며, 이어서 5%의 "6월 30일"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 44¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 44%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.
오늘 현재 "Netanyahu out by...?"은 총 $120.4 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jul 24, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.
"Netanyahu out by...?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 5개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.
"Netanyahu out by...?"의 현재 유력 후보는 44%의 "12월 31일"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 44%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 5%의 "6월 30일"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.
"Netanyahu out by...?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.
네. 정보를 얻기 위해 거래할 필요가 없습니다. 이 페이지는 "Netanyahu out by...?"의 실시간 추적기 역할을 합니다. 결과 확률은 새로운 거래가 들어옴에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트됩니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하고 다른 트레이더들이 무엇을 말하는지 댓글 섹션을 확인할 수 있습니다. 차트의 시간 범위 필터를 사용하여 확률이 시간에 따라 어떻게 변화했는지 확인할 수도 있습니다. 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 무료 실시간 창입니다.
Polymarket 확률은 자신의 신념에 실제 돈을 투자하는 트레이더들에 의해 설정되어 정확한 예측을 표면화하는 경향이 있습니다. "Netanyahu out by...?"에 $120.4 million이 거래되어 이 가격은 수천 명의 참가자의 집단 지식과 확신을 집계합니다 — 여론조사, 전문가 예측, 기존 설문조사를 종종 능가합니다. Polymarket과 같은 예측 마켓은 특히 이벤트가 정산일에 가까워질수록 강한 정확도 실적을 가지고 있습니다. 예를 들어 Polymarket의 1개월 정확도 점수는 94%입니다. Polymarket의 예측 정확도에 대한 최신 통계는 정확도 페이지를 방문하세요.
"Netanyahu out by...?"에서 첫 거래를 하려면 무료 Polymarket 계정에 가입하고 암호화폐, 신용 또는 직불카드, 은행 이체를 사용하여 자금을 입금하세요. 계정에 자금이 입금되면 이 페이지로 돌아와 거래하려는 결과를 선택하고 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 예측 마켓이 처음이라면 Polymarket 페이지 상단의 "이용 방법" 링크를 클릭하여 거래 방법에 대한 단계별 안내를 확인하세요.
Polymarket에서 각 결과의 가격은 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타냅니다. "Netanyahu out by...?" 마켓에서 "12월 31일"의 44¢ 가격은 트레이더들이 "12월 31일"이 정확한 결과가 될 확률을 대략 44%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 44¢에 "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 맞으면 주당 $1.00을 받습니다 — 주당 56¢의 수익입니다. 틀리면 해당 주식은 $0의 가치입니다.
"Netanyahu out by...?" 마켓은 Dec 31, 2026 전후에 정산될 예정입니다. 이는 해당 날짜까지 거래가 계속 열려 있고 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 계속 변할 것임을 의미합니다. 정확한 정산 시기는 이 페이지의 "규칙" 섹션에 명시된 대로 공식 결과가 이용 가능해지는 시점에 따라 달라집니다.
"Netanyahu out by...?" 마켓에는 트레이더들이 분석을 공유하고, 결과를 토론하고, 최신 진전을 논의하는 2,231개 댓글의 활발한 커뮤니티이 있습니다. 아래 댓글 섹션으로 스크롤하여 다른 참가자들의 의견을 읽어보세요. "상위 보유자"로 필터링하여 마켓의 가장 큰 트레이더들의 포지션을 확인하거나 "활동" 탭에서 실시간 거래 피드를 확인할 수도 있습니다.
Polymarket은 세계 최대 예측 마켓으로, 실제 이벤트에 대한 지식으로 정보를 얻고 수익을 낼 수 있습니다. 트레이더들은 정치, 선거, 암호화폐, 금융, 스포츠, 기술, 문화 등 "Netanyahu out by...?"과 같은 마켓을 포함한 다양한 주제의 결과에 대한 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 가격은 금전적 확신에 뒷받침된 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영하며, 여론조사, 전문가, 기존 설문조사보다 빠르고 정확한 신호를 제공하는 경우가 많습니다.
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외부 링크에 주의하세요.
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