The US administration has maintained its maximum pressure policy on Iran through repeated OFAC designations targeting the shadow fleet, oil exporters, and ballistic missile networks, even as temporary general licenses authorized limited transactions for Iranian crude loaded before March 2026 amid energy price spikes from prior US-Israeli military operations. These targeted relief measures addressed short-term supply concerns without altering broader sanctions frameworks reimposed in early 2025. Ongoing designations through May 2026, including counter-terrorism and Iran-related updates, reflect sustained enforcement priorities tied to nuclear and regional security concerns. Any broader lifting would require verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or legislative changes, with trader assessments shaped by the pace of enforcement actions and diplomatic signals in the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.30
May 31
24%
June 30
29%
$442 거래량
May 31
$399 거래량
24%
June 30
$167 거래량
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.The US administration has maintained its maximum pressure policy on Iran through repeated OFAC designations targeting the shadow fleet, oil exporters, and ballistic missile networks, even as temporary general licenses authorized limited transactions for Iranian crude loaded before March 2026 amid energy price spikes from prior US-Israeli military operations. These targeted relief measures addressed short-term supply concerns without altering broader sanctions frameworks reimposed in early 2025. Ongoing designations through May 2026, including counter-terrorism and Iran-related updates, reflect sustained enforcement priorities tied to nuclear and regional security concerns. Any broader lifting would require verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or legislative changes, with trader assessments shaped by the pace of enforcement actions and diplomatic signals in the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
마켓 개설일: May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
거래량
$442종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.The US administration has maintained its maximum pressure policy on Iran through repeated OFAC designations targeting the shadow fleet, oil exporters, and ballistic missile networks, even as temporary general licenses authorized limited transactions for Iranian crude loaded before March 2026 amid energy price spikes from prior US-Israeli military operations. These targeted relief measures addressed short-term supply concerns without altering broader sanctions frameworks reimposed in early 2025. Ongoing designations through May 2026, including counter-terrorism and Iran-related updates, reflect sustained enforcement priorities tied to nuclear and regional security concerns. Any broader lifting would require verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or legislative changes, with trader assessments shaped by the pace of enforcement actions and diplomatic signals in the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially suspends, waives, lifts, removes, or materially eases any existing direct OFAC sanctions on Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sanctions could include measures like blocking sanctions, financial restrictions, trade restrictions, travel bans, restrictions on specific Iranian individuals or entities, sectoral sanctions, or any other Iran-related measures administered or enforced by OFAC that are commonly recognized as direct sanctions.
For purposes of this market, qualifying sanctions relief must materially suspend, waive, lift, or ease direct OFAC sanctions on Iran, the Government of Iran, Iranian persons or entities, Iranian sectors, or Iran-related transactions. Partial sanctions relief will qualify, including relief limited to a specific Iranian sector, Iranian state entity, Iranian financial institution, or category of Iran-related transactions. A new or expanded OFAC general license, waiver, regulation, or other official action will qualify if it materially authorizes activity that was previously prohibited under direct Iran-related OFAC sanctions.
Sanctions relief for a non-Iranian third party will not qualify, regardless of whether that party was sanctioned for Iran-related activity.
The passage of an official act/executive order or issuance of an official regulation, license, waiver, or other official action lifting or materially easing OFAC sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if the lifting or easing of those sanctions does not come into effect until after this market's resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of the Treasury and OFAC, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
거래량
$442종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US administration has maintained its maximum pressure policy on Iran through repeated OFAC designations targeting the shadow fleet, oil exporters, and ballistic missile networks, even as temporary general licenses authorized limited transactions for Iranian crude loaded before March 2026 amid energy price spikes from prior US-Israeli military operations. These targeted relief measures addressed short-term supply concerns without altering broader sanctions frameworks reimposed in early 2025. Ongoing designations through May 2026, including counter-terrorism and Iran-related updates, reflect sustained enforcement priorities tied to nuclear and regional security concerns. Any broader lifting would require verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or legislative changes, with trader assessments shaped by the pace of enforcement actions and diplomatic signals in the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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