Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) throughout 2026, with "No" at 91.5%, driven by official UAE statements explicitly ruling out departure despite its April 2026 exit from OPEC. Senior diplomat Anwar Gargash affirmed at a conference that the UAE is reviewing some multilateral ties but not the GCC, emphasizing its strategic value amid escalating Iran tensions, including missile strikes on UAE energy facilities. Recent GCC consultative summits in Jeddah (late April) saw UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed actively participate, with the bloc issuing unified condemnations of Iranian attacks and calls for stronger economic integration, underscoring cohesion over fragmentation rumors. No procedural steps toward withdrawal have emerged, reinforcing the high implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
신규
신규
2026.12.31
예
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) throughout 2026, with "No" at 91.5%, driven by official UAE statements explicitly ruling out departure despite its April 2026 exit from OPEC. Senior diplomat Anwar Gargash affirmed at a conference that the UAE is reviewing some multilateral ties but not the GCC, emphasizing its strategic value amid escalating Iran tensions, including missile strikes on UAE energy facilities. Recent GCC consultative summits in Jeddah (late April) saw UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed actively participate, with the bloc issuing unified condemnations of Iranian attacks and calls for stronger economic integration, underscoring cohesion over fragmentation rumors. No procedural steps toward withdrawal have emerged, reinforcing the high implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
거래량
$8,789종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) throughout 2026, with "No" at 91.5%, driven by official UAE statements explicitly ruling out departure despite its April 2026 exit from OPEC. Senior diplomat Anwar Gargash affirmed at a conference that the UAE is reviewing some multilateral ties but not the GCC, emphasizing its strategic value amid escalating Iran tensions, including missile strikes on UAE energy facilities. Recent GCC consultative summits in Jeddah (late April) saw UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed actively participate, with the bloc issuing unified condemnations of Iranian attacks and calls for stronger economic integration, underscoring cohesion over fragmentation rumors. No procedural steps toward withdrawal have emerged, reinforcing the high implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$8,789종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) throughout 2026, with "No" at 91.5%, driven by official UAE statements explicitly ruling out departure despite its April 2026 exit from OPEC. Senior diplomat Anwar Gargash affirmed at a conference that the UAE is reviewing some multilateral ties but not the GCC, emphasizing its strategic value amid escalating Iran tensions, including missile strikes on UAE energy facilities. Recent GCC consultative summits in Jeddah (late April) saw UAE Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed actively participate, with the bloc issuing unified condemnations of Iranian attacks and calls for stronger economic integration, underscoring cohesion over fragmentation rumors. No procedural steps toward withdrawal have emerged, reinforcing the high implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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