María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, remains outside the country following her December 2025 departure to accept the award and amid the January 2026 U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has stated in recent May 2026 interviews that her return will occur much sooner than the end of the year, with coordination underway on security and logistics involving the U.S. government. Current dynamics center on the transition under acting President Delcy Rodríguez, opposition calls for updated voter rolls and new electoral authorities, and risks of unrest if elections are delayed. Traders monitor these factors alongside scheduled diplomatic engagements and any public announcements on entry timing.