U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end remains unlikely because the Trump administration has instead backed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture. Public statements from the White House and State Department have emphasized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and phased electoral guarantees ahead of new voting. Trump has repeatedly cited concerns over Machado's domestic support levels despite her January White House meeting and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with no subsequent policy shift toward formal endorsement. Machado continues advocating swift elections and a potential candidacy upon her planned return later this year, yet these developments have sustained trader expectations aligned with historical patterns of interim transitions rather than rapid leadership changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end remains unlikely because the Trump administration has instead backed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture. Public statements from the White House and State Department have emphasized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and phased electoral guarantees ahead of new voting. Trump has repeatedly cited concerns over Machado's domestic support levels despite her January White House meeting and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with no subsequent policy shift toward formal endorsement. Machado continues advocating swift elections and a potential candidacy upon her planned return later this year, yet these developments have sustained trader expectations aligned with historical patterns of interim transitions rather than rapid leadership changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
거래량
$3,882종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end remains unlikely because the Trump administration has instead backed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture. Public statements from the White House and State Department have emphasized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and phased electoral guarantees ahead of new voting. Trump has repeatedly cited concerns over Machado's domestic support levels despite her January White House meeting and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with no subsequent policy shift toward formal endorsement. Machado continues advocating swift elections and a potential candidacy upon her planned return later this year, yet these developments have sustained trader expectations aligned with historical patterns of interim transitions rather than rapid leadership changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$3,882종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by year-end remains unlikely because the Trump administration has instead backed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 capture. Public statements from the White House and State Department have emphasized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and phased electoral guarantees ahead of new voting. Trump has repeatedly cited concerns over Machado's domestic support levels despite her January White House meeting and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with no subsequent policy shift toward formal endorsement. Machado continues advocating swift elections and a potential candidacy upon her planned return later this year, yet these developments have sustained trader expectations aligned with historical patterns of interim transitions rather than rapid leadership changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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