Arsenal's two-point lead over Manchester City atop the Premier League table with two matches remaining has solidified trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for City to finish second, reflecting the Gunners' superior recent form and goal difference (+42) amid a grueling title race. City's dominant 3-0 win over Crystal Palace on May 13 kept pressure on but failed to close the gap, as Arsenal responded with a solid victory to maintain their edge; Manchester United languish third on 65 points, 14 behind, ensuring the top-two scrap dominates Champions League qualification. No key injuries disrupt either squad, with focus shifting to run-ins—Arsenal's kinder schedule versus City's tests against Chelsea and Bournemouth—highlighting the Gunners' momentum in holding off Pep Guardiola's chasers.