Arsenal hold a narrow points lead over Manchester City with two matches remaining, giving them control of their destiny and explaining the strong trader consensus favoring the Gunners to lift the Premier League trophy for the first time since 2004. Recent results, including a 1-0 win over West Ham and a 3-0 victory against Fulham, have helped Arsenal maintain or extend their advantage despite earlier slips against Bournemouth and City. Manchester City’s three wins in their last four fixtures, including a 3-0 result versus Brentford, have kept them within striking distance but leave them needing to win all remaining games while hoping for an Arsenal stumble. Fixture congestion for City and Arsenal’s favorable home match against Burnley further tilt implied probabilities toward the leaders in this tightly contested title race.