Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, underpinned by their high FIFA ranking, experienced core including Frenkie de Jong and Cody Gakpo, and depth offsetting Xavi Simons' ACL injury from late April that ruled him out. Japan's 26.5% reflects their potent attack led by Kaoru Mitoma and robust qualifying form, positioning them as credible challengers in a competitive group. Sweden's 13.5% gained from Tuesday's squad announcement featuring Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, despite omitting Dejan Kulusevski, after their tense playoff qualification. Tunisia trails at 5.1% as underdogs, focusing on friendlies amid coaching transition to Sabri Lamouchi, with top two plus best third-placed advancing to round of 32.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트네덜란드 54%
일본 27%
스웨덴 14%
튀니지 5.1%
$131,890 거래량
$131,890 거래량
네덜란드
54%
일본
27%
스웨덴
14%
튀니지
5%
네덜란드 54%
일본 27%
스웨덴 14%
튀니지 5.1%
$131,890 거래량
$131,890 거래량
네덜란드
54%
일본
27%
스웨덴
14%
튀니지
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, underpinned by their high FIFA ranking, experienced core including Frenkie de Jong and Cody Gakpo, and depth offsetting Xavi Simons' ACL injury from late April that ruled him out. Japan's 26.5% reflects their potent attack led by Kaoru Mitoma and robust qualifying form, positioning them as credible challengers in a competitive group. Sweden's 13.5% gained from Tuesday's squad announcement featuring Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, despite omitting Dejan Kulusevski, after their tense playoff qualification. Tunisia trails at 5.1% as underdogs, focusing on friendlies amid coaching transition to Sabri Lamouchi, with top two plus best third-placed advancing to round of 32.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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