France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트프랑스 71%
노르웨이 22%
세네갈 9%
이라크 1.1%
$134,701 거래량
$134,701 거래량
2026.06.27
프랑스
71%
노르웨이
22%
세네갈
9%
이라크
1%
프랑스 71%
노르웨이 22%
세네갈 9%
이라크 1.1%
$134,701 거래량
$134,701 거래량
2026.06.27
프랑스
$59,032 거래량
71%
노르웨이
$15,002 거래량
22%
세네갈
$17,350 거래량
9%
이라크
$43,316 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
거래량
$134,701종료일
2026.06.27마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$134,701종료일
2026.06.27마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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