CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data through mid-May 2026 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing in the mid-80s per 100,000 population, as weekly incidence has fallen to near-zero levels consistent with the typical post-peak decline of U.S. flu seasons. This positioning reflects the market's assessment of official laboratory-confirmed case trends and historical patterns, where the vast majority of season-total hospitalizations occur by April. Implied probabilities above 98% for the 85–90 band indicate strong trader consensus on minimal further accumulation before Week 22 resolution criteria are met. Only substantial late-season reporting revisions or an unprecedented summer surge—both rare based on prior CDC records—would realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
신규
신규
2026.06.12
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.6%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
신규
신규
2026.06.12
<80
$418 거래량
<1%
80–85
$426 거래량
<1%
85–90
$1,635 거래량
99%
90–95
$380 거래량
<1%
95–100
$391 거래량
1%
100+
$387 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data through mid-May 2026 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing in the mid-80s per 100,000 population, as weekly incidence has fallen to near-zero levels consistent with the typical post-peak decline of U.S. flu seasons. This positioning reflects the market's assessment of official laboratory-confirmed case trends and historical patterns, where the vast majority of season-total hospitalizations occur by April. Implied probabilities above 98% for the 85–90 band indicate strong trader consensus on minimal further accumulation before Week 22 resolution criteria are met. Only substantial late-season reporting revisions or an unprecedented summer surge—both rare based on prior CDC records—would realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
거래량
$3,638종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data through mid-May 2026 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing in the mid-80s per 100,000 population, as weekly incidence has fallen to near-zero levels consistent with the typical post-peak decline of U.S. flu seasons. This positioning reflects the market's assessment of official laboratory-confirmed case trends and historical patterns, where the vast majority of season-total hospitalizations occur by April. Implied probabilities above 98% for the 85–90 band indicate strong trader consensus on minimal further accumulation before Week 22 resolution criteria are met. Only substantial late-season reporting revisions or an unprecedented summer surge—both rare based on prior CDC records—would realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
거래량
$3,638종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data through mid-May 2026 show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing in the mid-80s per 100,000 population, as weekly incidence has fallen to near-zero levels consistent with the typical post-peak decline of U.S. flu seasons. This positioning reflects the market's assessment of official laboratory-confirmed case trends and historical patterns, where the vast majority of season-total hospitalizations occur by April. Implied probabilities above 98% for the 85–90 band indicate strong trader consensus on minimal further accumulation before Week 22 resolution criteria are met. Only substantial late-season reporting revisions or an unprecedented summer surge—both rare based on prior CDC records—would realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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