The dominant market-implied odds of 95.7% for an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population through CDC Week 23 reflect the 2025–2026 season’s trajectory, with FluSurv-NET data showing 87.5 by Week 22 and only minimal weekly additions (0.1–0.3 per 100,000) in recent low-activity periods. Late-spring declines in laboratory-confirmed admissions, driven by waning influenza circulation after a moderately severe season peaking earlier, support little further accumulation before the June 22 data release. Historical patterns of negligible summer transmission reinforce trader consensus that the cumulative total will remain within this narrow band. An atypical off-season resurgence or delayed reporting adjustments could push the figure outside 85–90, though current surveillance trends indicate low probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 94.2%
90–95 4.8%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
94%
90–95
5%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 94.2%
90–95 4.8%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
94%
90–95
5%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market-implied odds of 95.7% for an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population through CDC Week 23 reflect the 2025–2026 season’s trajectory, with FluSurv-NET data showing 87.5 by Week 22 and only minimal weekly additions (0.1–0.3 per 100,000) in recent low-activity periods. Late-spring declines in laboratory-confirmed admissions, driven by waning influenza circulation after a moderately severe season peaking earlier, support little further accumulation before the June 22 data release. Historical patterns of negligible summer transmission reinforce trader consensus that the cumulative total will remain within this narrow band. An atypical off-season resurgence or delayed reporting adjustments could push the figure outside 85–90, though current surveillance trends indicate low probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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