OpenAI's recent release of GPT-5.5 in late April 2026, following completion of pre-training for the codenamed "Spud" model, has reset expectations for the next major generational leap. Traders are now watching internal development cycles, with credible reports pointing to late 2026 or early 2027 for a full GPT-6 rollout featuring advances in long-term memory, agentic capabilities, and multimodal performance. Competitive pressure from labs like Anthropic and Google, combined with OpenAI's accelerated release cadence across the GPT-5 family, supports this compressed timeline, though safety evaluations and compute scaling remain key variables that could shift the schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$304,411 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
11%
2026년 9월 30일
50%
2026년 12월 31일
82%
$304,411 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
11%
2026년 9월 30일
50%
2026년 12월 31일
82%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's recent release of GPT-5.5 in late April 2026, following completion of pre-training for the codenamed "Spud" model, has reset expectations for the next major generational leap. Traders are now watching internal development cycles, with credible reports pointing to late 2026 or early 2027 for a full GPT-6 rollout featuring advances in long-term memory, agentic capabilities, and multimodal performance. Competitive pressure from labs like Anthropic and Google, combined with OpenAI's accelerated release cadence across the GPT-5 family, supports this compressed timeline, though safety evaluations and compute scaling remain key variables that could shift the schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문