Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a typical mid-winter day in Buenos Aires with surface highs most likely near 13–14°C. Stable high pressure supports modest daytime solar heating, while light southerly flow and variable cloud cover limit boundary-layer mixing and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July climatology shows daily maxima averaging 14–15°C at Ministro Pistarini station, placing the current setup squarely within normal variability. Small differences in predicted insolation, wind speed, and low-level moisture explain the tight split between the 13°C and 14°C contracts; any late-model shift favoring clearer skies or weaker winds could favor the higher bin before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 10일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$33,058 거래량
$33,058 거래량
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$33,058 거래량
$33,058 거래량
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a typical mid-winter day in Buenos Aires with surface highs most likely near 13–14°C. Stable high pressure supports modest daytime solar heating, while light southerly flow and variable cloud cover limit boundary-layer mixing and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July climatology shows daily maxima averaging 14–15°C at Ministro Pistarini station, placing the current setup squarely within normal variability. Small differences in predicted insolation, wind speed, and low-level moisture explain the tight split between the 13°C and 14°C contracts; any late-model shift favoring clearer skies or weaker winds could favor the higher bin before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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