Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 21?
26°C 33%
25°C 31%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.06.21
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C
31%
26°C
33%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 31%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.06.21
21°C or below
$809 거래량
<1%
22°C
$145 거래량
<1%
23°C
$21 거래량
4%
24°C
$271 거래량
14%
25°C
$166 거래량
31%
26°C
$147 거래량
33%
27°C
$12 거래량
15%
28°C
$49 거래량
5%
29°C
$58 거래량
2%
30°C
$150 거래량
1%
31°C or higher
$254 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$2,081종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,081종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service place the highest probability on afternoon maxima of 25–27°C for Istanbul on June 21, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered in that range. Mid-June climatology shows typical highs near 25°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover, with sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing thermal moderation that limits extreme excursions. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variable, as shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these official guidance runs heavily ahead of resolution, acknowledging the inherent spread in high-resolution forecasts near coastal urban stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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