Current forecast guidance from models and agencies such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in Miami on July 1 near the low 90s, consistent with July climatology where average highs reach 88–90°F amid subtropical ridging, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon heating. Sea-breeze convection and humidity levels around 70% introduce modest variability, keeping the distribution centered on 90–93°F bins that together hold over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Recent late-June observations of mid-90s readings under drier air have slightly elevated near-term expectations, yet no significant pattern shift or extreme-heat signal has emerged to support higher outcomes above 94°F.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Miami on July 1?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 5.2%
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 5.2%
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from models and agencies such as the National Weather Service points to a daily high in Miami on July 1 near the low 90s, consistent with July climatology where average highs reach 88–90°F amid subtropical ridging, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon heating. Sea-breeze convection and humidity levels around 70% introduce modest variability, keeping the distribution centered on 90–93°F bins that together hold over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Recent late-June observations of mid-90s readings under drier air have slightly elevated near-term expectations, yet no significant pattern shift or extreme-heat signal has emerged to support higher outcomes above 94°F.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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