Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 13일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 13일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 37%
35°C 27%
33°C 18.1%
36°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.07.13
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
37%
35°C
27%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 27%
33°C 18.1%
36°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.07.13
31°C or below
$109 거래량
1%
32°C
$556 거래량
4%
33°C
$911 거래량
18%
34°C
$611 거래량
37%
35°C
$545 거래량
27%
36°C
$1,616 거래량
5%
37°C
$1,248 거래량
2%
38°C
$641 거래량
1%
39°C
$363 거래량
<1%
40°C
$399 거래량
<1%
41°C or higher
$191 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$7,073종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$7,073종료일
2026.07.13마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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