Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 21일에 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
37°C 35%
36°C 27%
38°C 24%
39°C 7.4%
$18,415 거래량
$18,415 거래량
32°C 이하
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
27%
37°C
35%
38°C
24%
39°C
7%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C 이상
<1%
37°C 35%
36°C 27%
38°C 24%
39°C 7.4%
$18,415 거래량
$18,415 거래량
32°C 이하
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
27%
37°C
35%
38°C
24%
39°C
7%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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