Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 20 point to a high near 67–70°F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of June, supporting the market's leading 68–69°F outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Key variables include the depth and timing of coastal stratus and fog, which cap afternoon warming; wind speed and direction from the Pacific, favoring cooler advection; and any short-term shifts in the thermal inversion or upper-level ridging that could allow brief clearing and modest warming to 70–71°F. Historical climatology shows June maxima averaging in the mid-60s at SFO, with microclimate variations across the city adding resolution uncertainty.
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68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
64-65°F 7%
59°F 이하
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F 이상
<1%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
64-65°F 7%
59°F 이하
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 20 point to a high near 67–70°F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of June, supporting the market's leading 68–69°F outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Key variables include the depth and timing of coastal stratus and fog, which cap afternoon warming; wind speed and direction from the Pacific, favoring cooler advection; and any short-term shifts in the thermal inversion or upper-level ridging that could allow brief clearing and modest warming to 70–71°F. Historical climatology shows June maxima averaging in the mid-60s at SFO, with microclimate variations across the city adding resolution uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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