Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF indicate a stable Mediterranean high-pressure regime for Tel Aviv on June 22, with daytime maxima likely settling near 28–30°C as sea-surface temperatures around 24°C moderate coastal heating. Subtle differences in predicted wind direction and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between 29°C and 30°C market leaders, while low Sharav-wind probability keeps upside limited. Historical June climatology shows daily highs clustering in this range, with model consensus tightening as the event nears and reducing the chance of outliers above 31°C or below 28°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty between these adjacent bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 22?
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
31°C 10%
28°C 8%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
34%
30°C
33%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
31°C 10%
28°C 8%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
34%
30°C
33%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF indicate a stable Mediterranean high-pressure regime for Tel Aviv on June 22, with daytime maxima likely settling near 28–30°C as sea-surface temperatures around 24°C moderate coastal heating. Subtle differences in predicted wind direction and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight spread between 29°C and 30°C market leaders, while low Sharav-wind probability keeps upside limited. Historical June climatology shows daily highs clustering in this range, with model consensus tightening as the event nears and reducing the chance of outliers above 31°C or below 28°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty between these adjacent bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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