Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 12일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 12일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 43%
27°C 24%
29°C 22%
26°C 6.9%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
43%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 24%
29°C 22%
26°C 6.9%
신규
신규
2026.07.12
22°C or below
$1,381 거래량
<1%
23°C
$152 거래량
<1%
24°C
$254 거래량
1%
25°C
$215 거래량
3%
26°C
$291 거래량
7%
27°C
$390 거래량
24%
28°C
$155 거래량
43%
29°C
$298 거래량
22%
30°C
$180 거래량
2%
31°C
$138 거래량
1%
32°C or higher
$355 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
거래량
$3,810종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$3,810종료일
2026.07.12마켓 개설일
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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