Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 21일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 21일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
16°C 59%
17°C 33%
15°C 9%
18°C 2.9%
신규
$22,609 거래량
신규
$22,609 거래량
2026.06.21
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
59%
17°C
33%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
17°C 33%
15°C 9%
18°C 2.9%
신규
$22,609 거래량
신규
$22,609 거래량
2026.06.21
11°C or below
$238 거래량
<1%
12°C
$449 거래량
<1%
13°C
$391 거래량
<1%
14°C
$2,195 거래량
1%
15°C
$2,904 거래량
9%
16°C
$3,095 거래량
59%
17°C
$2,799 거래량
33%
18°C
$3,840 거래량
3%
19°C
$913 거래량
1%
20°C
$388 거래량
<1%
21°C or higher
$5,433 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$22,609종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$22,609종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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