Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan places the July 11 maximum near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the Yangtze and numerous urban lakes, and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands; clear skies under a ridge favor the upper end while scattered convection or stronger winds cap readings. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32–35 °C with occasional spikes above 38 °C, but the final 48-hour model runs and local observations will determine whether the peak settles at 36 °C, 37 °C, or 38 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일 우한에서 가장 높은 기온?
37°C 36%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 8%
$25,648 거래량
$25,648 거래량
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C
36%
38°C
31%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 36%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 8%
$25,648 거래량
$25,648 거래량
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C
36%
38°C
31%
39°C
8%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan places the July 11 maximum near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the Yangtze and numerous urban lakes, and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands; clear skies under a ridge favor the upper end while scattered convection or stronger winds cap readings. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32–35 °C with occasional spikes above 38 °C, but the final 48-hour model runs and local observations will determine whether the peak settles at 36 °C, 37 °C, or 38 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문