The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up from 4.38% a week prior, propelled by April's consumer price index (CPI) accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—on a 0.6% monthly gain that surpassed forecasts. This sticky inflation, alongside robust labor market data, has curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, steepening the yield curve and reflecting trader consensus on sustained higher-for-longer monetary policy. Forecasts from major institutions project yields stabilizing around 4.1-4.3% through year-end 2026, with limited downside amid geopolitical energy risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May CPI release in mid-June, which could recalibrate rate path pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$214,061 거래량
2026.12.31
3.9%
56%
3.8%
49%
3.7%
35%
3.6%
37%
3.5%
36%
3.0%
13%
2.0%
10%
1.0%
4%
$214,061 거래량
3.9%
$40,117 거래량
56%
3.8%
$39,331 거래량
49%
3.7%
$26,338 거래량
35%
3.6%
$4,730 거래량
37%
3.5%
$31,523 거래량
36%
3.0%
$387 거래량
13%
2.0%
$341 거래량
10%
1.0%
$39,534 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up from 4.38% a week prior, propelled by April's consumer price index (CPI) accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—on a 0.6% monthly gain that surpassed forecasts. This sticky inflation, alongside robust labor market data, has curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, steepening the yield curve and reflecting trader consensus on sustained higher-for-longer monetary policy. Forecasts from major institutions project yields stabilizing around 4.1-4.3% through year-end 2026, with limited downside amid geopolitical energy risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May CPI release in mid-June, which could recalibrate rate path pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
거래량
$214,061종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up from 4.38% a week prior, propelled by April's consumer price index (CPI) accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—on a 0.6% monthly gain that surpassed forecasts. This sticky inflation, alongside robust labor market data, has curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, steepening the yield curve and reflecting trader consensus on sustained higher-for-longer monetary policy. Forecasts from major institutions project yields stabilizing around 4.1-4.3% through year-end 2026, with limited downside amid geopolitical energy risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May CPI release in mid-June, which could recalibrate rate path pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
거래량
$214,061종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield stands at 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up from 4.38% a week prior, propelled by April's consumer price index (CPI) accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—on a 0.6% monthly gain that surpassed forecasts. This sticky inflation, alongside robust labor market data, has curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, steepening the yield curve and reflecting trader consensus on sustained higher-for-longer monetary policy. Forecasts from major institutions project yields stabilizing around 4.1-4.3% through year-end 2026, with limited downside amid geopolitical energy risks. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and May CPI release in mid-June, which could recalibrate rate path pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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