President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since his January 2025 inauguration to address civil unrest tied to ICE deportation operations and urban violence, including recent clashes in Minneapolis over an agent-involved shooting and reported tensions in Chicago as of early May 2026, but has not activated it, opting instead for National Guard federalization under governors' requests. A Senate bill (S.2070), the Insurrection Act of 2025, advanced in committee last month to impose stricter limits on presidential authority, bypassing Posse Comitatus restrictions on domestic military law enforcement. Traders weigh legal challenges from states like Illinois and Minnesota, alongside political backlash risks ahead of 2026 midterms, against escalating immigration enforcement and protest dynamics that could prompt executive action. No invocation has occurred, with resolution tied to official proclamation before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,086,469 거래량
2026.12.31
6월 30일
6%
12월 31일
27%
$1,086,469 거래량
6월 30일
$70,102 거래량
6%
12월 31일
$132,772 거래량
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since his January 2025 inauguration to address civil unrest tied to ICE deportation operations and urban violence, including recent clashes in Minneapolis over an agent-involved shooting and reported tensions in Chicago as of early May 2026, but has not activated it, opting instead for National Guard federalization under governors' requests. A Senate bill (S.2070), the Insurrection Act of 2025, advanced in committee last month to impose stricter limits on presidential authority, bypassing Posse Comitatus restrictions on domestic military law enforcement. Traders weigh legal challenges from states like Illinois and Minnesota, alongside political backlash risks ahead of 2026 midterms, against escalating immigration enforcement and protest dynamics that could prompt executive action. No invocation has occurred, with resolution tied to official proclamation before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
거래량
$1,086,469종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since his January 2025 inauguration to address civil unrest tied to ICE deportation operations and urban violence, including recent clashes in Minneapolis over an agent-involved shooting and reported tensions in Chicago as of early May 2026, but has not activated it, opting instead for National Guard federalization under governors' requests. A Senate bill (S.2070), the Insurrection Act of 2025, advanced in committee last month to impose stricter limits on presidential authority, bypassing Posse Comitatus restrictions on domestic military law enforcement. Traders weigh legal challenges from states like Illinois and Minnesota, alongside political backlash risks ahead of 2026 midterms, against escalating immigration enforcement and protest dynamics that could prompt executive action. No invocation has occurred, with resolution tied to official proclamation before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,086,469종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since his January 2025 inauguration to address civil unrest tied to ICE deportation operations and urban violence, including recent clashes in Minneapolis over an agent-involved shooting and reported tensions in Chicago as of early May 2026, but has not activated it, opting instead for National Guard federalization under governors' requests. A Senate bill (S.2070), the Insurrection Act of 2025, advanced in committee last month to impose stricter limits on presidential authority, bypassing Posse Comitatus restrictions on domestic military law enforcement. Traders weigh legal challenges from states like Illinois and Minnesota, alongside political backlash risks ahead of 2026 midterms, against escalating immigration enforcement and protest dynamics that could prompt executive action. No invocation has occurred, with resolution tied to official proclamation before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문