Michael's fourth-weekend box office is tracking toward a $25 million-plus hold, with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 58.5 percent implied probability after a robust $36.5 million third frame. The Jackson fan base continues driving repeat viewings across broad demographics, including strong Black and Latino audiences that fueled the $97 million domestic opening. Lionsgate's targeted theatrical window has maximized deferred demand from older viewers who skipped early weeks amid controversy, keeping the drop manageable at around 34 percent. With global earnings already surpassing $600 million and no major competition this frame, momentum from IMAX and premium screens should support the frontrunner bracket heading into final numbers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트'마이클' 네 번째 주말 박스오피스
'마이클' 네 번째 주말 박스오피스
>2,500만 59%
2,200만~2,500만 38%
1,900만~2,200만 <1%
<1,900만 <1%
$40,497 거래량
$40,497 거래량
2026.05.18
<1,900만
<1%
1,900만~2,200만
<1%
2,200만~2,500만
38%
>2,500만
59%
>2,500만 59%
2,200만~2,500만 38%
1,900만~2,200만 <1%
<1,900만 <1%
$40,497 거래량
$40,497 거래량
2026.05.18
<1,900만
$4,017 거래량
<1%
1,900만~2,200만
$5,532 거래량
<1%
2,200만~2,500만
$5,580 거래량
38%
>2,500만
$25,368 거래량
59%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Michael's fourth-weekend box office is tracking toward a $25 million-plus hold, with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 58.5 percent implied probability after a robust $36.5 million third frame. The Jackson fan base continues driving repeat viewings across broad demographics, including strong Black and Latino audiences that fueled the $97 million domestic opening. Lionsgate's targeted theatrical window has maximized deferred demand from older viewers who skipped early weeks amid controversy, keeping the drop manageable at around 34 percent. With global earnings already surpassing $600 million and no major competition this frame, momentum from IMAX and premium screens should support the frontrunner bracket heading into final numbers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
거래량
$40,497종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Michael's fourth-weekend box office is tracking toward a $25 million-plus hold, with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 58.5 percent implied probability after a robust $36.5 million third frame. The Jackson fan base continues driving repeat viewings across broad demographics, including strong Black and Latino audiences that fueled the $97 million domestic opening. Lionsgate's targeted theatrical window has maximized deferred demand from older viewers who skipped early weeks amid controversy, keeping the drop manageable at around 34 percent. With global earnings already surpassing $600 million and no major competition this frame, momentum from IMAX and premium screens should support the frontrunner bracket heading into final numbers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$40,497종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael's fourth-weekend box office is tracking toward a $25 million-plus hold, with trader consensus favoring that outcome at 58.5 percent implied probability after a robust $36.5 million third frame. The Jackson fan base continues driving repeat viewings across broad demographics, including strong Black and Latino audiences that fueled the $97 million domestic opening. Lionsgate's targeted theatrical window has maximized deferred demand from older viewers who skipped early weeks amid controversy, keeping the drop manageable at around 34 percent. With global earnings already surpassing $600 million and no major competition this frame, momentum from IMAX and premium screens should support the frontrunner bracket heading into final numbers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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