Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time edging out 10-20 years at 31.6% versus 28.3% implied probability, driven by jury deliberations underway in his third New York rape retrial that halted early yesterday after the 74-year-old reported chest pains. This #MeToo-era case's frontrunners reflect uncertainty from his standing 16-year California rape conviction—appeal rebuffed by a skeptical panel last month—and a pending sexual assault sentencing up to 25 years, potentially concurrent or mitigated by health concerns. Key differentiators include a possible rape acquittal unlocking lighter terms, appeal successes mirroring his 2024 New York conviction overturn, or compassionate release amid frailty, with a verdict imminent as the pivotal catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
징역형 없음 31.6%
10~20년 30.0%
20-30년 22.4%
5년 미만 9.3%
$927,764 거래량
$927,764 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
32%
5년 미만
9%
5-10년
3%
10~20년
30%
20-30년
22%
30년 이상
7%
징역형 없음 31.6%
10~20년 30.0%
20-30년 22.4%
5년 미만 9.3%
$927,764 거래량
$927,764 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
$330,758 거래량
32%
5년 미만
$122,700 거래량
9%
5-10년
$72,501 거래량
3%
10~20년
$148,660 거래량
30%
20-30년
$187,183 거래량
22%
30년 이상
$65,962 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time edging out 10-20 years at 31.6% versus 28.3% implied probability, driven by jury deliberations underway in his third New York rape retrial that halted early yesterday after the 74-year-old reported chest pains. This #MeToo-era case's frontrunners reflect uncertainty from his standing 16-year California rape conviction—appeal rebuffed by a skeptical panel last month—and a pending sexual assault sentencing up to 25 years, potentially concurrent or mitigated by health concerns. Key differentiators include a possible rape acquittal unlocking lighter terms, appeal successes mirroring his 2024 New York conviction overturn, or compassionate release amid frailty, with a verdict imminent as the pivotal catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
거래량
$927,764종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time edging out 10-20 years at 31.6% versus 28.3% implied probability, driven by jury deliberations underway in his third New York rape retrial that halted early yesterday after the 74-year-old reported chest pains. This #MeToo-era case's frontrunners reflect uncertainty from his standing 16-year California rape conviction—appeal rebuffed by a skeptical panel last month—and a pending sexual assault sentencing up to 25 years, potentially concurrent or mitigated by health concerns. Key differentiators include a possible rape acquittal unlocking lighter terms, appeal successes mirroring his 2024 New York conviction overturn, or compassionate release amid frailty, with a verdict imminent as the pivotal catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$927,764종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time edging out 10-20 years at 31.6% versus 28.3% implied probability, driven by jury deliberations underway in his third New York rape retrial that halted early yesterday after the 74-year-old reported chest pains. This #MeToo-era case's frontrunners reflect uncertainty from his standing 16-year California rape conviction—appeal rebuffed by a skeptical panel last month—and a pending sexual assault sentencing up to 25 years, potentially concurrent or mitigated by health concerns. Key differentiators include a possible rape acquittal unlocking lighter terms, appeal successes mirroring his 2024 New York conviction overturn, or compassionate release amid frailty, with a verdict imminent as the pivotal catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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