Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in public personal attacks on journalists, political opponents, and other figures, with recent examples including insults directed at NBC's Kristen Welker during a Meet the Press interview and labels like "thug" and "pig" aimed at a Maine Senate candidate. This pattern, amplified by frequent press interactions and campaign-style rhetoric, underpins trader consensus on daily resolution markets for whether he will insult someone on a given date. Scheduled events such as upcoming media appearances, legislative updates, or primary season developments could sustain or briefly interrupt the trend, though historical frequency suggests limited downside risk for Yes outcomes absent major schedule changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$571,517 거래량
2026.06.30
6월 18일
91%
6월 25일
92%
6월 27일
91%
6월 14일
100%
6월 15일
92%
6월 16일
92%
6월 17일
91%
6월 19일
92%
6월 20일
93%
6월 21일
92%
6월 22일
93%
6월 23일
93%
6월 24일
94%
6월 26일
94%
6월 28일
93%
6월 29일
92%
6월 30일
93%
$571,517 거래량
6월 18일
$3,105 거래량
91%
6월 25일
$341 거래량
92%
6월 27일
$355 거래량
91%
6월 14일
$15,154 거래량
100%
6월 15일
$6,402 거래량
92%
6월 16일
$983 거래량
92%
6월 17일
$1,352 거래량
91%
6월 19일
$418 거래량
92%
6월 20일
$278 거래량
93%
6월 21일
$2,816 거래량
92%
6월 22일
$390 거래량
93%
6월 23일
$390 거래량
93%
6월 24일
$243 거래량
94%
6월 26일
$220 거래량
94%
6월 28일
$859 거래량
93%
6월 29일
$1,445 거래량
92%
6월 30일
$237 거래량
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in public personal attacks on journalists, political opponents, and other figures, with recent examples including insults directed at NBC's Kristen Welker during a Meet the Press interview and labels like "thug" and "pig" aimed at a Maine Senate candidate. This pattern, amplified by frequent press interactions and campaign-style rhetoric, underpins trader consensus on daily resolution markets for whether he will insult someone on a given date. Scheduled events such as upcoming media appearances, legislative updates, or primary season developments could sustain or briefly interrupt the trend, though historical frequency suggests limited downside risk for Yes outcomes absent major schedule changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
거래량
$571,517종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in public personal attacks on journalists, political opponents, and other figures, with recent examples including insults directed at NBC's Kristen Welker during a Meet the Press interview and labels like "thug" and "pig" aimed at a Maine Senate candidate. This pattern, amplified by frequent press interactions and campaign-style rhetoric, underpins trader consensus on daily resolution markets for whether he will insult someone on a given date. Scheduled events such as upcoming media appearances, legislative updates, or primary season developments could sustain or briefly interrupt the trend, though historical frequency suggests limited downside risk for Yes outcomes absent major schedule changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$571,517종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in public personal attacks on journalists, political opponents, and other figures, with recent examples including insults directed at NBC's Kristen Welker during a Meet the Press interview and labels like "thug" and "pig" aimed at a Maine Senate candidate. This pattern, amplified by frequent press interactions and campaign-style rhetoric, underpins trader consensus on daily resolution markets for whether he will insult someone on a given date. Scheduled events such as upcoming media appearances, legislative updates, or primary season developments could sustain or briefly interrupt the trend, though historical frequency suggests limited downside risk for Yes outcomes absent major schedule changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문