President Trump formally submitted Todd Blanche’s nomination for Attorney General to the Senate on June 8, 2026, shortly after the former deputy attorney general began serving as acting AG following Pam Bondi’s departure. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, Blanche needs near-unanimous GOP support to reach confirmation, yet several senators have voiced reservations tied to a proposed $1.8 billion Justice Department compensation fund and broader concerns about the department’s direction. Democrats have signaled unified opposition, while the Senate Judiciary Committee is not expected to hold a hearing until mid-July at the earliest. These factors, combined with the early stage of the process and the possibility of withdrawal or delay, keep trader probabilities clustered tightly around mid-50s vote totals and a substantial chance of no final vote by year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트49 77%
54 77%
55 48%
57 39.6%
신규
신규
2027.01.01
≤46
1%
47
1%
48
1%
49
77%
50
1%
51
1%
52
8%
53
3%
54
77%
55
48%
56
44%
57
40%
58+
3%
12월 31일까지 투표 없음/철회됨
47%
49 77%
54 77%
55 48%
57 39.6%
신규
신규
2027.01.01
≤46
$28 거래량
1%
47
$38 거래량
1%
48
$28 거래량
1%
49
$20 거래량
77%
50
$38 거래량
1%
51
$28 거래량
1%
52
$38 거래량
8%
53
$25 거래량
3%
54
$43 거래량
77%
55
$55 거래량
48%
56
$63 거래량
44%
57
$68 거래량
40%
58+
$38 거래량
3%
12월 31일까지 투표 없음/철회됨
$43 거래량
47%
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally submitted Todd Blanche’s nomination for Attorney General to the Senate on June 8, 2026, shortly after the former deputy attorney general began serving as acting AG following Pam Bondi’s departure. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, Blanche needs near-unanimous GOP support to reach confirmation, yet several senators have voiced reservations tied to a proposed $1.8 billion Justice Department compensation fund and broader concerns about the department’s direction. Democrats have signaled unified opposition, while the Senate Judiciary Committee is not expected to hold a hearing until mid-July at the earliest. These factors, combined with the early stage of the process and the possibility of withdrawal or delay, keep trader probabilities clustered tightly around mid-50s vote totals and a substantial chance of no final vote by year-end.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
거래량
$549종료일
2027.01.01마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally submitted Todd Blanche’s nomination for Attorney General to the Senate on June 8, 2026, shortly after the former deputy attorney general began serving as acting AG following Pam Bondi’s departure. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, Blanche needs near-unanimous GOP support to reach confirmation, yet several senators have voiced reservations tied to a proposed $1.8 billion Justice Department compensation fund and broader concerns about the department’s direction. Democrats have signaled unified opposition, while the Senate Judiciary Committee is not expected to hold a hearing until mid-July at the earliest. These factors, combined with the early stage of the process and the possibility of withdrawal or delay, keep trader probabilities clustered tightly around mid-50s vote totals and a substantial chance of no final vote by year-end.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$549종료일
2027.01.01마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump formally submitted Todd Blanche’s nomination for Attorney General to the Senate on June 8, 2026, shortly after the former deputy attorney general began serving as acting AG following Pam Bondi’s departure. With Republicans holding a narrow majority, Blanche needs near-unanimous GOP support to reach confirmation, yet several senators have voiced reservations tied to a proposed $1.8 billion Justice Department compensation fund and broader concerns about the department’s direction. Democrats have signaled unified opposition, while the Senate Judiciary Committee is not expected to hold a hearing until mid-July at the earliest. These factors, combined with the early stage of the process and the possibility of withdrawal or delay, keep trader probabilities clustered tightly around mid-50s vote totals and a substantial chance of no final vote by year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문