Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트38.5–38.9 42%
39.5–39.9 42%
<38.0 41%
38.0–38.4 41%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
<38.0
41%
38.0–38.4
41%
38.5–38.9
42%
39.0–39.4
41%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0+
41%
38.5–38.9 42%
39.5–39.9 42%
<38.0 41%
38.0–38.4 41%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
<38.0
$0 거래량
41%
38.0–38.4
$0 거래량
41%
38.5–38.9
$0 거래량
42%
39.0–39.4
$0 거래량
41%
39.5–39.9
$0 거래량
42%
40.0+
$0 거래량
41%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval near 35-40 percent amid sustained economic discontent and fallout from the Iran conflict, including higher gas prices that most Americans blame on administration policy. Traders see these pressures—coupled with low marks on inflation and cost-of-living issues—as anchoring probabilities tightly around the 38-40 range for the June 19 reading. The brief window until then reduces scope for sudden reversals, though any major diplomatic breakthrough, economic data release, or escalation in energy markets could shift the final tally enough to separate the clustered outcomes. Current market pricing reflects this narrow band of likely results based on the latest survey averages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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