Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트38.5–38.9 99.6%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
$15,840 거래량
$15,840 거래량
2026.06.12
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
38.5–38.9 99.6%
39.0–39.4 <1%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
$15,840 거래량
$15,840 거래량
2026.06.12
<38.0
$1,943 거래량
No
38.0–38.4
$4,530 거래량
No
38.5–38.9
$3,096 거래량
Yes
39.0–39.4
$3,155 거래량
No
39.5–39.9
$2,227 거래량
No
40.0+
$888 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
거래량
$15,840종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$15,840종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent polling averages from major survey organizations have placed Donald Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-June 2026, aligning closely with the 38.5–38.9 range and driving near-certain trader consensus. Economic indicators such as inflation trends, employment figures, and legislative progress on budget and immigration measures appear to have anchored sentiment in this band. Scheduled events including congressional votes and public addresses in the preceding weeks reinforced stability without producing sharp shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include revisions to final poll releases, changes in weighting methodologies, or unexpected developments in foreign policy or legal proceedings occurring after the June 12 measurement window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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