Trump’s job approval sits near second-term lows around 35-40% in recent national surveys amid the ongoing Iran conflict and voter concerns over gas prices and cost-of-living pressures. With the market priced at even odds for movement this week, trader sentiment reflects a balance between entrenched economic dissatisfaction that has held ratings steady in negative territory and the potential for short-term shifts from any diplomatic signals, military updates, or incoming economic data. Congressional dynamics, including the attorney general nomination process, add another variable that could influence daily polling movement either direction depending on confirmation developments or partisan responses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s job approval sits near second-term lows around 35-40% in recent national surveys amid the ongoing Iran conflict and voter concerns over gas prices and cost-of-living pressures. With the market priced at even odds for movement this week, trader sentiment reflects a balance between entrenched economic dissatisfaction that has held ratings steady in negative territory and the potential for short-term shifts from any diplomatic signals, military updates, or incoming economic data. Congressional dynamics, including the attorney general nomination process, add another variable that could influence daily polling movement either direction depending on confirmation developments or partisan responses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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