Netflix shares, currently trading near $87, reflect a closely balanced market-implied distribution for the week of May 18 close, with the $80–$90 bin holding a narrow edge over the $40–$50 range amid elevated volatility expectations. The primary driver remains the April 16 first-quarter earnings release, which delivered revenue of $12.25 billion and a 16% year-over-year increase that surpassed consensus, alongside an operating margin expansion to 32.3%. However, the stock’s post-earnings decline stemmed from reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $50.7–$51.7 billion and Q2 forecasts that fell slightly below analyst targets, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings’s planned board exit. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against broader sector rotation and macro rate sensitivity, creating the current tight contest between modest upside capture and sharper downside scenarios. No major catalysts are scheduled before week-end resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$80-$90 77%
$40-$50 47.1%
>$130 30%
$90-$100 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<$40
1%
$40-$50
47%
$50-$60
3%
$60-$70
9%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
77%
$90-$100
18%
$100-$110
7%
$110-$120
4%
$120-$130
2%
>$130
30%
$80-$90 77%
$40-$50 47.1%
>$130 30%
$90-$100 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<$40
$38 거래량
1%
$40-$50
$43 거래량
47%
$50-$60
$43 거래량
3%
$60-$70
$10 거래량
9%
$70-$80
$0 거래량
11%
$80-$90
$0 거래량
77%
$90-$100
$0 거래량
18%
$100-$110
$0 거래량
7%
$110-$120
$16 거래량
4%
$120-$130
$10 거래량
2%
>$130
$43 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Netflix shares, currently trading near $87, reflect a closely balanced market-implied distribution for the week of May 18 close, with the $80–$90 bin holding a narrow edge over the $40–$50 range amid elevated volatility expectations. The primary driver remains the April 16 first-quarter earnings release, which delivered revenue of $12.25 billion and a 16% year-over-year increase that surpassed consensus, alongside an operating margin expansion to 32.3%. However, the stock’s post-earnings decline stemmed from reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $50.7–$51.7 billion and Q2 forecasts that fell slightly below analyst targets, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings’s planned board exit. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against broader sector rotation and macro rate sensitivity, creating the current tight contest between modest upside capture and sharper downside scenarios. No major catalysts are scheduled before week-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
거래량
$202종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Netflix shares, currently trading near $87, reflect a closely balanced market-implied distribution for the week of May 18 close, with the $80–$90 bin holding a narrow edge over the $40–$50 range amid elevated volatility expectations. The primary driver remains the April 16 first-quarter earnings release, which delivered revenue of $12.25 billion and a 16% year-over-year increase that surpassed consensus, alongside an operating margin expansion to 32.3%. However, the stock’s post-earnings decline stemmed from reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $50.7–$51.7 billion and Q2 forecasts that fell slightly below analyst targets, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings’s planned board exit. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against broader sector rotation and macro rate sensitivity, creating the current tight contest between modest upside capture and sharper downside scenarios. No major catalysts are scheduled before week-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$202종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 6:05 PM ETNetflix shares, currently trading near $87, reflect a closely balanced market-implied distribution for the week of May 18 close, with the $80–$90 bin holding a narrow edge over the $40–$50 range amid elevated volatility expectations. The primary driver remains the April 16 first-quarter earnings release, which delivered revenue of $12.25 billion and a 16% year-over-year increase that surpassed consensus, alongside an operating margin expansion to 32.3%. However, the stock’s post-earnings decline stemmed from reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $50.7–$51.7 billion and Q2 forecasts that fell slightly below analyst targets, compounded by co-founder Reed Hastings’s planned board exit. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against broader sector rotation and macro rate sensitivity, creating the current tight contest between modest upside capture and sharper downside scenarios. No major catalysts are scheduled before week-end resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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