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정치·수상 내역

2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자

icon for 2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자
정치·수상 내역

2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자

도널드 트럼프 10%

율리야 나발나야 8%

볼로디미르 젤렌스키 5.9%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$17,477,671 거래량

도널드 트럼프 10%

율리야 나발나야 8%

볼로디미르 젤렌스키 5.9%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$17,477,671 거래량

icon for 도널드 트럼프

도널드 트럼프

$3,354,714 거래량

10%

icon for 율리야 나발나야

율리야 나발나야

$155,258 거래량

8%

icon for 볼로디미르 젤렌스키

볼로디미르 젤렌스키

$465,739 거래량

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,501 거래량

5%

icon for 타밈 빈 하마드 알타니

타밈 빈 하마드 알타니

$610,490 거래량

4%

icon for 교황 레오 14세

교황 레오 14세

$698,230 거래량

3%

icon for 국제사법재판소

국제사법재판소

$759,360 거래량

2%

icon for 나렌드라 모디

나렌드라 모디

$543,973 거래량

2%

icon for 시진핑

시진핑

$1,134,128 거래량

1%

icon for 그레타 툰베리

그레타 툰베리

$1,185,999 거래량

1%

icon for 찰리 커크

찰리 커크

$893,499 거래량

1%

icon for 레제프 타이이프 에르도안

레제프 타이이프 에르도안

$699,055 거래량

1%

icon for 아흐메드 알-샤라

아흐메드 알-샤라

$933,627 거래량

1%

icon for 안토니우 구테흐스

안토니우 구테흐스

$409,185 거래량

1%

icon for 칼레드 마샬

칼레드 마샬

$443,717 거래량

1%

icon for 모하메드 빈 살만

모하메드 빈 살만

$809,503 거래량

1%

icon for 줄리안 어산지

줄리안 어산지

$491,523 거래량

1%

icon for 블라디미르 푸틴

블라디미르 푸틴

$731,550 거래량

1%

icon for 엘론 머스크

엘론 머스크

$720,476 거래량

<1%

icon for 벤자민 네타냐후

벤자민 네타냐후

$494,457 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With no single frontrunner dominating early sentiment for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, traders have dispersed support across a crowded field shaped by persistent global conflicts and diplomatic maneuvering. Donald Trump’s narrow lead reflects his high-visibility role in recent Middle East and Eastern European negotiations, while Yulia Navalnaya’s position captures sympathy for continuing opposition legacies amid authoritarian crackdowns. Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s share underscores Ukraine’s ongoing centrality to peace talks, and modest backing for bodies like UNRWA signals bettor awareness that the secretive Nobel committee often rewards institutional efforts in protracted crises. Tight clustering among the rest highlights how late-breaking ceasefires or summits could rapidly reorder momentum ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
거래량
$17,477,671
종료일
2026.10.10
마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With no single frontrunner dominating early sentiment for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, traders have dispersed support across a crowded field shaped by persistent global conflicts and diplomatic maneuvering. Donald Trump’s narrow lead reflects his high-visibility role in recent Middle East and Eastern European negotiations, while Yulia Navalnaya’s position captures sympathy for continuing opposition legacies amid authoritarian crackdowns. Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s share underscores Ukraine’s ongoing centrality to peace talks, and modest backing for bodies like UNRWA signals bettor awareness that the secretive Nobel committee often rewards institutional efforts in protracted crises. Tight clustering among the rest highlights how late-breaking ceasefires or summits could rapidly reorder momentum ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
거래량
$17,477,671
종료일
2026.10.10
마켓 개설일
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자"은 20개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 10%의 "도널드 트럼프"이며, 이어서 8%의 "율리야 나발나야"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 10¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 10%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자"은 총 $17.5 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Oct 16, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 20개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자"의 현재 유력 후보는 10%의 "도널드 트럼프"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 10%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 8%의 "율리야 나발나야"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2026년 노벨 평화상 수상자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.