The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 37%
Dune: Messiah 29%
Wild Horse Nine 21.6%
Project Hail Mary 7.0%
$21,821 거래량
$21,821 거래량
2027.02.28
The Odyssey
41%
Dune: Messiah
29%
Wild Horse Nine
22%
Project Hail Mary
7%
Disclosure Day
5%
The Social Reckoning
21%
Wuthering Heights
1%
The Bride!
<1%
The Odyssey 37%
Dune: Messiah 29%
Wild Horse Nine 21.6%
Project Hail Mary 7.0%
$21,821 거래량
$21,821 거래량
2027.02.28
The Odyssey
$6,409 거래량
41%
Dune: Messiah
$4,042 거래량
29%
Wild Horse Nine
$1,017 거래량
22%
Project Hail Mary
$2,847 거래량
7%
Disclosure Day
$3,205 거래량
5%
The Social Reckoning
$842 거래량
21%
Wuthering Heights
$1,947 거래량
1%
The Bride!
$1,512 거래량
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$21,821종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$21,821종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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