Traders have concentrated the highest probabilities on the 800-959 tweet range for July 2026, reflecting Elon Musk’s observed posting frequency of roughly 25-30 posts per day in recent periods. This pace aligns with documented activity levels from 2025 weekly markets and exceeds earlier annual averages, producing monthly totals in that band for a 31-day period. The broad distribution across adjacent bins underscores month-to-month variability driven by news events, platform announcements, and personal or business developments rather than any single catalyst in the past month. Lower-probability tails below 600 or above 1,200 capture scenarios of sustained slowdowns or spikes tied to external factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Elon Musk # 님이 2026년 7월에 트윗했나요?
Elon Musk # 님이 2026년 7월에 트윗했나요?
800-839 8.3%
880-919 8.3%
920-959 8.1%
840-879 7.6%
$210,968 거래량
$210,968 거래량
2026.08.01
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-639
3%
640-679
4%
680-719
5%
720-759
7%
760-799
7%
800-839
8%
840-879
8%
880-919
8%
920-959
8%
960-999
6%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
4%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
3%
1200-1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
2%
1320-1359
1%
1360-1399
1%
1400+
6%
800-839 8.3%
880-919 8.3%
920-959 8.1%
840-879 7.6%
$210,968 거래량
$210,968 거래량
2026.08.01
<20
$27,117 거래량
<1%
20-39
$5,932 거래량
<1%
40-59
$280 거래량
<1%
60-79
$4,475 거래량
<1%
80-99
$1,400 거래량
<1%
100-119
$2,277 거래량
<1%
120-139
$2,551 거래량
<1%
140-159
$1,395 거래량
<1%
160-179
$1,292 거래량
<1%
180-199
$1,960 거래량
<1%
200-219
$2,290 거래량
<1%
220-239
$3,712 거래량
<1%
240-259
$5,733 거래량
<1%
260-279
$6,578 거래량
<1%
280-299
$12,124 거래량
<1%
300-319
$9,890 거래량
<1%
320-339
$4,716 거래량
<1%
340-359
$5,068 거래량
<1%
360-379
$10,406 거래량
<1%
380-399
$11,693 거래량
<1%
400-419
$8,911 거래량
<1%
420-439
$7,540 거래량
<1%
440-459
$7,624 거래량
1%
460-479
$1,622 거래량
1%
480-499
$1,666 거래량
1%
500-519
$1,951 거래량
1%
520-539
$4,647 거래량
1%
540-559
$3,272 거래량
1%
560-579
$4,456 거래량
1%
580-599
$1,142 거래량
2%
600-639
$2,981 거래량
3%
640-679
$4,664 거래량
4%
680-719
$2,856 거래량
5%
720-759
$1,832 거래량
7%
760-799
$1,732 거래량
7%
800-839
$4,814 거래량
8%
840-879
$1,987 거래량
8%
880-919
$2,367 거래량
8%
920-959
$1,304 거래량
8%
960-999
$1,278 거래량
6%
1000-1039
$1,785 거래량
6%
1040-1079
$1,514 거래량
4%
1080-1119
$1,815 거래량
4%
1120-1159
$2,447 거래량
3%
1160-1199
$1,884 거래량
3%
1200-1239
$2,130 거래량
2%
1240-1279
$1,421 거래량
2%
1280-1319
$1,966 거래량
2%
1320-1359
$2,025 거래량
1%
1360-1399
$1,904 거래량
1%
1400+
$2,545 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have concentrated the highest probabilities on the 800-959 tweet range for July 2026, reflecting Elon Musk’s observed posting frequency of roughly 25-30 posts per day in recent periods. This pace aligns with documented activity levels from 2025 weekly markets and exceeds earlier annual averages, producing monthly totals in that band for a 31-day period. The broad distribution across adjacent bins underscores month-to-month variability driven by news events, platform announcements, and personal or business developments rather than any single catalyst in the past month. Lower-probability tails below 600 or above 1,200 capture scenarios of sustained slowdowns or spikes tied to external factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$210,968종료일
2026.08.01마켓 개설일
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have concentrated the highest probabilities on the 800-959 tweet range for July 2026, reflecting Elon Musk’s observed posting frequency of roughly 25-30 posts per day in recent periods. This pace aligns with documented activity levels from 2025 weekly markets and exceeds earlier annual averages, producing monthly totals in that band for a 31-day period. The broad distribution across adjacent bins underscores month-to-month variability driven by news events, platform announcements, and personal or business developments rather than any single catalyst in the past month. Lower-probability tails below 600 or above 1,200 capture scenarios of sustained slowdowns or spikes tied to external factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$210,968종료일
2026.08.01마켓 개설일
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have concentrated the highest probabilities on the 800-959 tweet range for July 2026, reflecting Elon Musk’s observed posting frequency of roughly 25-30 posts per day in recent periods. This pace aligns with documented activity levels from 2025 weekly markets and exceeds earlier annual averages, producing monthly totals in that band for a 31-day period. The broad distribution across adjacent bins underscores month-to-month variability driven by news events, platform announcements, and personal or business developments rather than any single catalyst in the past month. Lower-probability tails below 600 or above 1,200 capture scenarios of sustained slowdowns or spikes tied to external factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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