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icon for 일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?

일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?

icon for 일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?

일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?

220-239 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$7,079,891 거래량

220-239 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$7,079,891 거래량

<20

$19,176 거래량

No

20-39

$14,856 거래량

No

40-59

$22,130 거래량

No

60-79

$123,518 거래량

No

80-99

$195,093 거래량

No

100-119

$163,137 거래량

No

120-139

$161,098 거래량

No

140-159

$199,216 거래량

No

160-179

$312,552 거래량

No

180-199

$697,018 거래량

No

200-219

$571,074 거래량

No

220-239

$740,567 거래량

Yes

240-259

$699,793 거래량

No

260-279

$552,003 거래량

No

280-299

$612,991 거래량

No

300-319

$326,455 거래량

No

320-339

$250,448 거래량

No

340-359

$215,568 거래량

No

360-379

$134,771 거래량

No

380-399

$124,741 거래량

No

400-419

$199,412 거래량

No

420-439

$177,924 거래량

No

440-459

$129,644 거래량

아니오

460~479

$124,126 거래량

아니오

480-499

$117,823 거래량

No

500개 이상

$194,757 거래량

아니오

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established rhythm of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 220-239 range for June 5-12. His typical output—often 25-40 posts daily including replies, emojis, and media—aligns with steady engagement around SpaceX milestones, Tesla updates, and real-time commentary, with no breaks or reduced activity reported in recent tracking of comparable weeks. Precursor markets on adjacent periods have repeatedly resolved in the low-to-mid 200s, reinforcing trader confidence in this baseline pace through the period's close. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as an extended offline period or major personal distraction, though current momentum makes such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$7,079,891
종료일
2026.06.12
마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established rhythm of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 220-239 range for June 5-12. His typical output—often 25-40 posts daily including replies, emojis, and media—aligns with steady engagement around SpaceX milestones, Tesla updates, and real-time commentary, with no breaks or reduced activity reported in recent tracking of comparable weeks. Precursor markets on adjacent periods have repeatedly resolved in the low-to-mid 200s, reinforcing trader confidence in this baseline pace through the period's close. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as an extended offline period or major personal distraction, though current momentum makes such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$7,079,891
종료일
2026.06.12
마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?"은 26개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "220-239"이며, 이어서 0%의 "<20"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?"은 총 $7.1 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 2, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 26개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "220-239"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "<20"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"일론 머스크 # 트윗 2026년 6월 5일 ~ 6월 12일?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.