Elon Musk’s steady posting cadence on X, typically ranging from 15–30 tweets daily during routine periods, anchors trader consensus around the 40–89 tweet range for the three-day window. Recent activity through June 11 shows consistent output of replies, company updates on Tesla FSD and xAI tools, and cultural commentary without major spikes or slowdowns, aligning with historical patterns for mid-week to weekend transitions. The leading 40–64 bin (49.5% implied probability) reflects expectations of moderated volume over the Saturday–Monday stretch, while 65–89 (34.5%) accounts for potential upticks from ongoing platform or business developments. No high-impact events have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift momentum toward higher bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 6월 13일 - 6월 15일?
40-64 50%
65-89 34%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
$23,508 거래량
$23,508 거래량
<40
9%
40-64
50%
65-89
34%
90-114
13%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 34%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
$23,508 거래량
$23,508 거래량
<40
9%
40-64
50%
65-89
34%
90-114
13%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s steady posting cadence on X, typically ranging from 15–30 tweets daily during routine periods, anchors trader consensus around the 40–89 tweet range for the three-day window. Recent activity through June 11 shows consistent output of replies, company updates on Tesla FSD and xAI tools, and cultural commentary without major spikes or slowdowns, aligning with historical patterns for mid-week to weekend transitions. The leading 40–64 bin (49.5% implied probability) reflects expectations of moderated volume over the Saturday–Monday stretch, while 65–89 (34.5%) accounts for potential upticks from ongoing platform or business developments. No high-impact events have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift momentum toward higher bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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