NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani launched his recurring “Talk with the People” Twitch series in late May 2026 with streams on May 21 and June 5, after which no further broadcasts occurred ahead of the June 12 cutoff. Trader consensus at 99.7% on “No” reflects the absence of any announced schedule, official confirmation, or observable activity on the mayor’s Twitch channel in the days immediately preceding the deadline, combined with the series’ irregular cadence. The near-certain pricing also accounts for the straightforward resolution mechanics tied to verifiable public streams by the fixed date. Even at this level, a last-minute unscheduled broadcast on June 12 itself or delayed confirmation of an earlier event could still shift the outcome before final settlement.