North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile tests in May 2026 as of mid-month, supporting the dominant trader consensus around fewer than two launches for the full period. Following a series of short-range ballistic missile firings in April that tested cluster munitions warheads and naval launch platforms, activity has paused amid routine military exercises and diplomatic signaling. This pattern aligns with North Korea’s historical approach of intermittent campaigns focused on technical validation rather than daily operations, with Kim Jong Un’s regime calibrating tests against regional responses and sanctions pressures. Any late-May escalation tied to U.S.-South Korea drills or internal policy announcements remains possible but appears discounted in current pricing given the extended quiet period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2회 미만 69%
2-3 26%
4회 이상 4.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
2회 미만
69%
2-3
26%
4회 이상
4%
2회 미만 69%
2-3 26%
4회 이상 4.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
2회 미만
$1,347 거래량
69%
2-3
$3,200 거래량
26%
4회 이상
$516 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile tests in May 2026 as of mid-month, supporting the dominant trader consensus around fewer than two launches for the full period. Following a series of short-range ballistic missile firings in April that tested cluster munitions warheads and naval launch platforms, activity has paused amid routine military exercises and diplomatic signaling. This pattern aligns with North Korea’s historical approach of intermittent campaigns focused on technical validation rather than daily operations, with Kim Jong Un’s regime calibrating tests against regional responses and sanctions pressures. Any late-May escalation tied to U.S.-South Korea drills or internal policy announcements remains possible but appears discounted in current pricing given the extended quiet period.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
거래량
$5,063종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile tests in May 2026 as of mid-month, supporting the dominant trader consensus around fewer than two launches for the full period. Following a series of short-range ballistic missile firings in April that tested cluster munitions warheads and naval launch platforms, activity has paused amid routine military exercises and diplomatic signaling. This pattern aligns with North Korea’s historical approach of intermittent campaigns focused on technical validation rather than daily operations, with Kim Jong Un’s regime calibrating tests against regional responses and sanctions pressures. Any late-May escalation tied to U.S.-South Korea drills or internal policy announcements remains possible but appears discounted in current pricing given the extended quiet period.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
거래량
$5,063종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted no confirmed missile tests in May 2026 as of mid-month, supporting the dominant trader consensus around fewer than two launches for the full period. Following a series of short-range ballistic missile firings in April that tested cluster munitions warheads and naval launch platforms, activity has paused amid routine military exercises and diplomatic signaling. This pattern aligns with North Korea’s historical approach of intermittent campaigns focused on technical validation rather than daily operations, with Kim Jong Un’s regime calibrating tests against regional responses and sanctions pressures. Any late-May escalation tied to U.S.-South Korea drills or internal policy announcements remains possible but appears discounted in current pricing given the extended quiet period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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