OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$34,665 거래량
2026.02.28
60%+
66%
70%+
25%
$34,665 거래량
60%+
$24,917 거래량
66%
70%+
$9,748 거래량
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
거래량
$34,665종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$34,665종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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