Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,183 거래량
$26,183 거래량
2026.05.15
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,183 거래량
$26,183 거래량
2026.05.15
<38.0
$3,823 거래량
No
38.0–38.4
$5,043 거래량
No
38.5–38.9
$8,095 거래량
Yes
39.0–39.4
$4,673 거래량
No
39.5–39.9
$2,651 거래량
No
40.0+
$1,897 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
거래량
$26,183종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$26,183종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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