Recent progress toward a US-Iran ceasefire memorandum and potential sanctions waivers on oil exports has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader views on the rial. Diplomatic signals in mid-June, including tentative commitments to ease restrictions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, have supported expectations for improved Iranian revenue flows that could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency by month-end. Persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines, hardliner opposition, and residual sanctions enforcement keep the leading bands tightly contested, with any breakthrough or setback in talks before June 30 likely to shift probabilities between the sub-1.6 million ranges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.6-1.7M 68%
1.7-1.8M 16.5%
1.5-1.6M 10.6%
1.8-1.9M 4.0%
$102,818 거래량
$102,818 거래량
<1.5M
<1%
1.5-1.6M
11%
1.6-1.7M
68%
1.7-1.8M
16%
1.8-1.9M
4%
1.9-2.0M
1%
2.0M+
<1%
1.6-1.7M 68%
1.7-1.8M 16.5%
1.5-1.6M 10.6%
1.8-1.9M 4.0%
$102,818 거래량
$102,818 거래량
<1.5M
<1%
1.5-1.6M
11%
1.6-1.7M
68%
1.7-1.8M
16%
1.8-1.9M
4%
1.9-2.0M
1%
2.0M+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent progress toward a US-Iran ceasefire memorandum and potential sanctions waivers on oil exports has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader views on the rial. Diplomatic signals in mid-June, including tentative commitments to ease restrictions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, have supported expectations for improved Iranian revenue flows that could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency by month-end. Persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines, hardliner opposition, and residual sanctions enforcement keep the leading bands tightly contested, with any breakthrough or setback in talks before June 30 likely to shift probabilities between the sub-1.6 million ranges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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