Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s strong consensus for 2026’s biggest opening weekend thanks to explosive early tracking reports and its prime December 18 holiday release slot, which historically fuels tentpole event films. The MCU crossover reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom with returning Avengers stars has reignited franchise momentum after recent box-office variability, with industry sources noting Infinity War-level test screenings and sustained hype that positions it well ahead of summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails on its July 31 date and Tom Holland appeal but contends with earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already claimed the year’s highest domestic debut so far. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah face tighter opening-weekend ceilings from mid-year timing and less proven crossover draw, though any late-breaking critical or marketing surges could still shift the narrow gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 개봉 주말이 가장 큰 영화는?
어벤져스: 둠스데이 73%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이 15%
토이 스토리 5 3.1%
오디세이(The Odyssey) 2.8%
$1,571,931 거래량
$1,571,931 거래량
어벤져스: 둠스데이
73%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이
15%
토이 스토리 5
3%
오디세이(The Odyssey)
3%
듄: 메시아
2%
스타워즈: 더 만달로리안과 그로구
1%
헝거게임: 썬라이즈 온 더 리핑
<1%
수퍼 마리오 갤럭시 영화
<1%
어벤져스: 둠스데이 73%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이 15%
토이 스토리 5 3.1%
오디세이(The Odyssey) 2.8%
$1,571,931 거래량
$1,571,931 거래량
어벤져스: 둠스데이
73%
스파이더맨: 브랜뉴 데이
15%
토이 스토리 5
3%
오디세이(The Odyssey)
3%
듄: 메시아
2%
스타워즈: 더 만달로리안과 그로구
1%
헝거게임: 썬라이즈 온 더 리핑
<1%
수퍼 마리오 갤럭시 영화
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s strong consensus for 2026’s biggest opening weekend thanks to explosive early tracking reports and its prime December 18 holiday release slot, which historically fuels tentpole event films. The MCU crossover reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom with returning Avengers stars has reignited franchise momentum after recent box-office variability, with industry sources noting Infinity War-level test screenings and sustained hype that positions it well ahead of summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails on its July 31 date and Tom Holland appeal but contends with earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already claimed the year’s highest domestic debut so far. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah face tighter opening-weekend ceilings from mid-year timing and less proven crossover draw, though any late-breaking critical or marketing surges could still shift the narrow gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문