The Senate advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh toward confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair via a 49-44 cloture vote two days ago, following the Banking Committee's 13-11 approval last month, reflecting narrow Republican control amid some Democratic crossovers like Sens. Fetterman and Coons. Warsh, a former Fed governor, testified April 21 on central bank independence despite past criticisms of prolonged easy money policies, easing prior Democratic concerns over potential White House influence. Traders anticipate a party-line floor vote this week before Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, pricing high consensus among GOP senators for yes votes and low odds for most Democrats, with swing-state moderates as key variables in the 51-seat majority math.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$148,701 거래량
Thom Tillis
100%
엘리자베스 워런
<1%
버니 샌더스
<1%
척 슈머
<1%
리사 머코스키
100%
케빈 크레이머
100%
존 케네디
100%
$148,701 거래량
Thom Tillis
100%
엘리자베스 워런
<1%
버니 샌더스
<1%
척 슈머
<1%
리사 머코스키
100%
케빈 크레이머
100%
존 케네디
100%
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh toward confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair via a 49-44 cloture vote two days ago, following the Banking Committee's 13-11 approval last month, reflecting narrow Republican control amid some Democratic crossovers like Sens. Fetterman and Coons. Warsh, a former Fed governor, testified April 21 on central bank independence despite past criticisms of prolonged easy money policies, easing prior Democratic concerns over potential White House influence. Traders anticipate a party-line floor vote this week before Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, pricing high consensus among GOP senators for yes votes and low odds for most Democrats, with swing-state moderates as key variables in the 51-seat majority math.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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